Brian Berletic recently proposed the only theory on what's going on here that makes sense to me. That is, the US is intentionally putting all the rising multi-polar states into jeopardy, extending them economically, and sowing chaos everywhere it can on the periphery. They are willing to use both real world military actions and information space asymmetric methods on the rising states, as well as all on their borders in furtherance of the effort. They (the neocons) are prepared for it to all play out over decades.

If this theory is correct, some counter-moves suggest themselves:

1/ Wreak economic damage in Ukr, then get out to preserve resources. Trump is changing nothing and negotiations are a waste of energy. It's just another fake negotiation.

2/ Dare the Europeans to start another "fire" on Russia's border via military means or color revolution. Russia needs to bare its teeth and prepare to invade again or to Oreshnik a European capital to call NATO bluffing.

3/ Urgently firm up all the military alliances and urgently share the military technology or manufacturing capacity. While direct war seems unlikely due to western financial constraints, best to prepare for global conflict.

4/ Close off the information space and all institutions of state interference immediately. There will simply be no innocent interchange with the west until the psychotic neocons are gone. Unfortunately a bit of autocracy is in everyone's future. You can observe Britain hardening its information space today. While US appears to be loosening, Musk can turn on a dime and AI is a powerful tool in this realm.

5/ Work to impair the West's economy by starving it of energy as possible and ending all commerce from China asap. Better to cause the domestic chaos and economic damage to yourselves vs the US doing it to you on their timing and via US military assets.

6/ Convince all sympathetic states to close off the information space, give malicious institutions the boot, and end western aid. Western aid is a drip-line of poison.

7/ Return the favor of inflicting chaos.

8/ Be ready for the monster to turn violent, including use of nuclear weapons.

9/ Pray that this western fever breaks.