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BREAKING NEWS 🚨 Global long bond yields just punched through their highest level since the 2008 crisis

4.2%

That's where the Bloomberg Global Long Bond Index yield is sitting right now - the highest reading since July 2008.

Translation: the cost of long-duration sovereign debt is back at GFC levels, only this time the world has $100T+ more leverage on top of it. 🏦

What's driving it πŸ‘‡

β€’ Fiscal deficits widening across G7 economies πŸ“‰

β€’ Sticky services inflation refusing to roll over

β€’ Term premium re-pricing as buyers demand more compensation for duration

β€’ Energy prices elevated and stuck

When the entire long end of the global yield curve breaks out, every risk asset eventually has to repriced against a new discount rate. ⚠️

I've been covering exactly this setup.

πŸ”— (subscribe to my newsletter)

#macro#bonds#yieldcurve#liquidity

May 25
at
2:15 PM
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