BREAKING NEWS π¨ Global long bond yields just punched through their highest level since the 2008 crisis
4.2%
That's where the Bloomberg Global Long Bond Index yield is sitting right now - the highest reading since July 2008.
Translation: the cost of long-duration sovereign debt is back at GFC levels, only this time the world has $100T+ more leverage on top of it. π¦
What's driving it π
β’ Fiscal deficits widening across G7 economies π
β’ Sticky services inflation refusing to roll over
β’ Term premium re-pricing as buyers demand more compensation for duration
β’ Energy prices elevated and stuck
When the entire long end of the global yield curve breaks out, every risk asset eventually has to repriced against a new discount rate. β οΈ
I've been covering exactly this setup.
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#macro#bonds#yieldcurve#liquidity