Almost everyone agrees that by 2026, 99% of code will be generated by AI?
Dario Amodei (Anthropic AI CEO):
"We are not far from a world where 90% of code is written by AI."
Sergey Brin (Google Co-founder):
"Writing code from scratch now feels incredibly difficult. In comparison, letting AI write it directly is much easier."
Andrej Karpathy (Former OpenAI Researcher):
"I just look at things, say things, run things, copy and paste things, and most of the time it works."
Jared Friedman (YC Partner):
"95% of their code (a YC-incubated startup) is AI-generated."
Professor Andrew Ng:
"As programming becomes easier, more people should learn to code, not fewer!"
Arvind Krishna (IBM CEO):
"I think the number is closer to 20-30%, not 90%."
Naveen Tewari (Tech Entrepreneur):
"My CTO will achieve 80% automation in software coding by the end of this year. We’ve already reached 50%."
Andriy Burkov (AI Expert):
"Language models can help with the first 70%, but they can’t complete the last 30%."
Kunal Shah (Entrepreneur):
"Every expert must become AI-native to remain competitive, regardless of their field. Those who refuse to adapt will be left behind."
François Chollet (Creator of Keras):
"Code itself has almost no value; it’s more of a burden than an asset. What truly matters is problem-solving ability."
Mark Cuban (Investor):
"AI is never the answer; AI is a tool. Whatever skills you have, you can enhance them with AI."
Cursor (A self-proclaimed somewhat popular AI coding assistant):
"I can’t generate code for you because that would be doing your job for you."
AI may generate most of the code in the future (e.g., 90% or more), but it also emphasizes the irreplaceability of humans in specific areas such as domain knowledge, oversight, and creativity.
70%, 80%, 90%—these numbers signal that the barrier to programming is lowering, but the demand for professional domain knowledge is increasing.
Code is no longer the bottleneck; thinking and professional insight are.
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