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There's a case for optimism here, as the newest voters will have Trump as their most relevant political experience, and while it's too soon to tell, early indicators are that it will probably not be a very positive one--just as his first term didn't exactly convert most youth of the time to his cause, and the economic and other impacts of his second could be even worse. The same happened under Biden which caused a rightward shift among the youngest voters, if perhaps not as sharp as some post election analysis said. Whether that's still relevant to them in 2028 and later will be interesting to see; it's possible that those who started voting in 2022-24 shift left.

And the newest voters won't have COVID as a particularly fresh or relevant memory, and the same is probably true for the gripes mentioned about excessive "progressive" censoriousness ("wokeism", cancel culture)' I actually agree with some of those complaints, though I hardly think they're a good reason to vote for Trump or any Republican. Biden-era inflation will likely also be a dim memory, especially if tariffs or other policies under Trump raise the cost of living even higher--something that younger voters may be especially hammered by.

Apr 27
at
12:11 AM

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