Questionably regarding horserace politics. If one takes their recent measures of party ID than Republican advantages there might cancel out greater Democratic enthusiasm --but their party ID numbers have yo-yoed so much lately for no apparent reason (and often been redder than in probably any credible nonpartisan poll) that I can't take them seriously on that question. (Imagine if they were still directly polling the presidential horserace...)

But from reports from around the country they may be right, or at least in the ballpark, regarding greater Democratic enthusiasm. Which would of course be great, but we'll need to run well among "independents" (which can of course mean almost anything) in swing states to seal the deal.