Let’s talk 🏌️PGA Championship betting⛳️!

To circle back around on Wednesday’s THE WINDOW Podcast, my six targets (and how I WOULD spread six units evenly) were:

• Cam Young (say, 2.0)

• Xander Schauffele (1.2)

• Tommy Fleetwood (1.0)

• Chris Gotterup (0.8)

• Tyrell Hatton (0.6)

• Jordan Spieth (0.4)

Had I bet all of them, on an average of 6 units, I’d have just Schauffele (+2000) as a realistic chance, with Gotterup (+6000) as a long shot today (though his odds have shortened).

That’s 6 units out to win maybe 24, with just Xander and Gotterup left.

The leaderboard has been such a mess, you could easily wait until this morning to hope to see it thin out.

Since I didn’t bet any of those, “by rule,” I could now take those 6 units allocated at spread them on Schauffele and Gotterup only.

• 5 units on Xander at +1200 (6 out for 60, net 59 units)

• 1 unit on Gotterup +4000 (6 out for 40, net 34)

Which would be an improvement on 6 out for 24.

BUT…. I’ve also bought myself some flexibility.

So, I can bet on those guys for the same return as pre-tournament:

• Schauffele: 2 units at +1200 (6 out for 24)

• Gotterup: 0.6 units at +4000

And still have 3.4 units to play with.

Let’s say I’ve looked at the numbers, and seen that Ludvig Aberg is striking it the best of anyone through 3 rounds. I can now put those 3.4 units to play on him at +650, to win 22.1 (net 19.5 units). Which is something I couldn’t do had I just made a card on Wednesday and rode it out.

Meanwhile, I still have top-20 sweats with Young, Xander, Gotterup, and an outside shot with Spieth, in an effort to be profitable there.

Hopefully that helps the Panes with another type of example of how that strategy can play out.