Nate Silver (@natesilver): "We ran the numbers. Even if all 7 swing states are exactly tied, there's only a ~1 in 9.5 trillion chance~ that so many polls would show such a close race."

The app for independent voices

Nov 1, 2024

We ran the numbers. Even if all 7 swing states are exactly tied, there's only a ~1 in 9.5 trillion chance~ that so many polls would show such a close race.

Silver Bulletin

There’s more herding in swing state polls than at a sheep farm in the Scottish Highlands

Nov 1, 2024

at

10:29 PM

#nojs-banner { position: fixed; bottom: 0; left: 0; padding: 16px 16px 16px 32px; width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; background: red; color: white; font-family: -apple-system, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 13px; line-height: 13px; } #nojs-banner a { color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; } This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please turn on JavaScript or unblock scripts

The app for independent voices

Log in or sign up