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The RBI just banned a $30 billion trade.

Not the position. The instrument.

I spent a significant amount of time building a primary-sourced breakdown of exactly how those positions were constructed — six structurally distinct hedge fund strategies, all running simultaneously in the offshore rupee NDF market, all hit by the April 2 ban at once.

The piece also covers something most analysts don't touch: the fixing rates these contracts settle against were manipulated by bank counterparties during 2007–2013. CFTC documented it. €344 million in EC fines followed.

If you want the mechanism behind the headline — not the headline — the full article is below.

This is not written for retail investors.

Non-Deliverable Forwards (NDFs) and Emerging Market Currency Alpha: How Hedge Funds Profit, How Banks Manipulated the Fix, and Why Three Sovereign Markets Banned the Trade
Apr 8
at
9:19 AM
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