'The Economist' describes its methods and acknowledges the other polling results. In fact, the article states that, per its model, it assigned an 83% probability of President Biden winning at this stage in the 2020 campaign. Sorry, I do not think one should put his or her head in the sand on this one. This is going to be an razor-thin race. The up-shot of 'The Economist', for me at least, is that we need to get cracking on stratcomms.

🤞

Personally, without the aid of statistics and just going on my often inaccurate gut, President Biden will be re-elected because Mr Kennedy will siphon off more votes from Trump than President Biden as blue-collar Trump supporters, mostly Reagan Democrats, migrate toward Mr Kennedy's mix of iconoclasm and traditional welfare state politics. That is where messaging from neutral sounding entities would be helpful.

✌️🤔🙏

LAST PARAGRAPH DELETED; too hostile on my part.