… (2/2) HOWEVER, even if Duke wins, it’s a bad sign for a 1 seed to have a close opener. Here are the average eventual tourney wins for top seeds since 1985 based on their margins in Round 1:

• 1-10: 2.4 wins

• 11-20: 3.2 wins

• 21-30: 3.5 wins

• 31+: 3.7 wins