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Brilliant take on the oil-breakeven correlation paradox. I've watched trader after trader treat those 5y5y forwards like gospel for longterm expectations, but they're basically just oil proxies at this point. Had a colleague last year argue with me for weeks that inflation expectations were anchored when really we were jsut watching Brent move around. The gold/silver divergence is way more telling aboutwhat smart money thinks of institutional credibility right now.

Jan 13
at
7:59 PM

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