No AI lab keeps the lead forever, the pattern just keeps repeating.

OpenAI was stuck behind a year ago, fixed its pretraining stack, caught right back up.

Google looked unbeatable six months ago with Gemini 3 Pro, until Anthropic pushed hard and took the lead.

Now the question turns to Anthropic.

Given the pattern, do not be surprised if key people start leaving by the end of the year.

This is the part of the AI race nobody talks about enough. The lead never stays put. It just keeps rotating to whoever fixed their weakest piece most recently.

NO LAB STAYS AHEAD FOREVER.