New predictions for 2026

Netflix and Paramount Skydance are betting "MOAR content" (acquiring Warner Bros libraries) will keep them competing with YouTube, but power laws will accelerate as AI floods platforms—making hits more valuable and everything else worthless.

YouTube creator payouts grow to $120B+ while legacy media advertising stays flat, gaming models (Roblox payouts: $329M in 2020 → $868M in 2024) prove more favorable to creators than streaming, and the Disney-OpenAI deal shows consumers don't need official IP when Sora enables infinite fan-made variations.

Nine predictions on supply/demand evolution plus the core market dynamic I'm building a business around—creators must operate like advertisers to survive power laws.