KKR mapped which sectors are most at risk of shrinking margins from AI-related disruption & it shows why Semis and Energy are hot themes.
Most likely to have contracting margins:
Software - no one is surprised here
Professional services
Financial Services and Insurance
Least likely to have contracting margins. These are the companies with real-world assets and products.
Food and beverage
Utilities
Semis: no wonder they are flying (least affected + highest growth)
Technology hardware
Autos and transportation
Banks
If a company’s margins are contracting, it’s difficult to model its cash flows. Sectors with potential margin contraction will remain in the doghouse.