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One pushback to the debasement trade I encounter frequently is that 10-year yield is down in 2025 (blue), so US gov't debt has to be fine. But 10-year has been pulled down by falling 2-year on dovish Fed expectations. Put that aside by looking at 10y10y forward yield (red). That's super high, which is worrying. Today’s Substack:

Nov 25
at
5:50 AM
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