🚨 THE $3.5 TRILLION FRAGILE FORTRESS
I spent 6 months analyzing leaked OpenAI documents, FTC filings, and restructuring footnotes.
What I found changes everything about Microsoft.
OpenAI spent $12.4 BILLION on Azure in 2024-2025.
Their revenue: $4.3 billion.
Read that again.
They're burning $2.20 to make $1.00.
Microsoft books this as "AI cloud growth."
The FTC calls it "circular financing."
I call it a financial ouroboros eating its own tail.
But here's the bombshell nobody is talking about:
Page 47 of the October 2025 restructuring docs:
"Microsoft's exclusive cloud provider status has been modified to preferred partner status."
EXCLUSIVE IS DEAD.
The $500B Stargate project? Running on Oracle Cloud.
Oracle's backlog just hit $523 BILLION.
Up 438% in one year.
The entire Microsoft AI premium was built on exclusivity that NO LONGER EXISTS.
Meanwhile:
→ Custom Maia chips delayed to 2026 → GPU depreciation hiding $18B in annual costs → 5 regulators circling with $25B exposure → Security culture deemed "inadequate" by federal review board
At 35x earnings, there is ZERO margin for error.
PREDICTION:
By July 1, 2026, Microsoft announces accelerated depreciation. EPS drops 10-15%.
Every sovereign wealth fund I brief is repositioning.
The smart money sees it.
Do you?
Bookmark this.
The arithmetic is merciless.
NFA DYOR - Read the full deep dive analysis here -