Thanks for a very informative article. Hope you will provide this analysis after each day of early voting.

My wife and I have made 8 abortive attempts to vote early in San Antonio but had to leave because of long lines. We tried another location today, which was supposed to have shorter line, but it was still too long. We did not see such voter enthusiasm in 2020. I am not complaining, as I agree with you that when more people vote, then Democrats typically do better. We will try again tomorrow to vote.