Now it is official that Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli are in trouble. This what I wrote in Tuesday's Sinocism, lots of hot takes out there today, but such a black box, seems too early to tell: "If the CMC is now reduced to two members - Chairman Xi Jinping and vice chair Zhang Shengmin - then questions about operational effectiveness of the PLA are fair. However, if this is a final part of a generational decapitation of PLA leadership, the younger, replacement generation may be real wolf warriors, so assuming this apparent chaos inside the PLA means the risks to Taiwan are lower may be risky."