FWIW:Crude oil is currently around $77. A sustained break above $80 opens the path toward the $150 all time high. It would likely signal a prolonged conflict, lasting beyond six weeks and potentially into months. Oil importing countries like India would face serious supply and economic pressures…

After researching quite a bit , this is what I have found…FWIW: Controlling the Strait of Hormuz isn’t just about winning a military fight. It involves three separate issues:1.)keeping the waterway physically safe for ships,2.) making sure insurers and shipping companies still feel confident enough to sail, and3.) ensuring oil can actually move through terminals, pipelines, and the global supply chain.For countries like India, this matters enormously. Roughly 40% of India’s crude oil imports pass through the Strait of Hormuz, and India holds about five weeks of supply in its strategic reserves. If shipping is disrupted for longer than that, the impact becomes economic, not just military.We call it “war,” but it’s really several complex problems unfolding at once.Basically, Military feasibility, Commercial viabilityand Physical throughput capacity all rolled into 1 word. “War”

Disclaimer: I have no formal background in macroeconomics, and my understanding of these complex issues is limited. I’m just genuinely interested in the subject.