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TLDR: The IEA just reported a 200,000 bpd drop in global oil demand. While the "incumbents" call it a blip, for Canada—an economy hard-coded to oil—it's a siren song for a structural recession. The math is below.

I analyzed the latest Canadian GDP figures, and I am amazed at how many people still think the "service sector" is a hedge. It’s not. It’s a derivative.

When global oil demand contracts, the first thing to go isn't just the rigs—it's the CAPEX that fuels the banks and the consumer spending that keeps the lights on in Toronto. We aren't activists, but we see a 40% margin of safety in betting against the "diversified" Canadian narrative while the market is still asleep at the wheel.

Reason NOT to Invest: If you need your portfolio to feel "safe" by hugging the index, this fund will make you miserable.

Apr 2
at
5:55 PM
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