New: on Polymarket August 15

• 🪙 SPX Up or Down on August 15 (active daily) — Equity momentum executable on close.

• 📉 Anthropic raises catastrophic-misalignment risk + shelves internal Model 2 August 2026 (active) — Safety rating shift executable on risk report.

• 📈 Anthropic hits $11.5B Q2 revenue + first operating profit August 2026 (active) — Profitability milestone executable on IPO positioning.

• 📈 Alibaba Qwen models cross 3B downloads, overtake Meta/Google August 2026 (active) — Open-weight dominance executable on download surge.

• 🤖 Qwen 3.8 27B ships with vision + 262K context (Apache 2.0) August 2026 (active) — Multimodal open model executable on release.

• 💰 Nvidia in talks for up to $3B SB Energy investment August 2026 (active) — Data-center power stake executable on SoftBank link.

• 📈 DeepSeek V4-Pro major price hike effective Aug 16 August 2026 (active) — Monetization reset executable on tiered rates.

• 📉 Jane Street ~$15B loss tied to AI fund troubles August 2026 (active) — Quant fund risk executable on market impact.