Tolga Bilge 

AI Policy Researcher at ControlAI
Latest post
Global Risks Weekly Roundup #12/2025: Famine in Gaza, H7N9 outbreak, US geopolitical leadership weakening.

The Direct Institutional Plan provides a promising path to getting necessary AI governance.

ControlAI have demonstrated its methods in the UK — building a coalition of over 25 UK politicians in support of binding regulation on powerful AI.

Crucially, it's collaborative: citizens and organizations can participate independently, and the res…

The Direct Institutional Plan
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The METR paper discussed here is perhaps one of the most difficult pieces of evidence for relatively short AI timelines to argue against.

There's uncertainty, but I think we can somewhat confidently infer that powerful AI is not going to take decades to arrive.

If you disagree, you probably should have a theory that explains why this trend…

AI Time Horizons Are Growing Exponentially