B2B businesses hide their problems in the order book.
Here are the 6 metrics that reveal execution quality before it shows up in the P&L.
Bookmark this. You'll need it.
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1. Order Book
= Total unexecuted orders at quarter-end
What it shows: Future revenue visibility
Good range: 1.5-2.0x of trailing 12-month revenue
Red flag: < 1.2x (pipeline weakening)
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2. Order Inflow
= New orders won during the quarter
What it shows: Demand momentum
Good range: Growing 10-15% faster than revenue
Red flag: Growing slower than revenue for 2+ quarters
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3. Book-to-Bill Ratio
= Order Inflow ÷ Quarterly Revenue
What it shows: Whether you're winning orders faster than executing
**Good range:** 1.2-1.5x consistently
**Red flag:** < 1.0x for 2 quarters (demand drying up)
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4. Execution Rate
= Orders Executed ÷ Opening Order Book (annual %)
What it shows: Operational efficiency, delivery capability
**Good range:** 75-90% per year
**Red flag:** < 70% (project delays or cancellations)
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5. Order Book Aging
= % of order book older than 12 months
What it shows: Stuck projects, execution bottlenecks
**Good range:** < 30% of total book
**Red flag:** > 50% (high cancellation risk)
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6. OPM Trajectory
= Operating Profit Margin on new orders vs legacy book
What it shows: Pricing power on fresh orders
Good range: New order OPM ≥ legacy OPM
Red flag: New order OPM < legacy by 3%+ (pricing pressure)
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Bonus Metric: Working Capital Days
= (Receivables + Inventory - Payables) ÷ Daily Revenue
What it shows: Cash conversion quality
**Good range:** < 90 days
**Red flag:** > 120 days (cash flow stress building)
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Why these metrics matter:
Revenue growth is backward-looking.
Order book quality is forward-looking.
I've tracked these across 40+ B2B stocks over 5 years.
Pattern: Companies that fail 3+ of these metrics underperform by 15-25% over the next 12 months.
Pattern: Companies that pass all 6 metrics outperform by 20%+ on average.
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SCREENER (Copy & Paste)
Market Capitalization > 500 AND
Sales growth 3Years > 15% AND
Average return on capital employed 3Years > 20% AND
Debt to equity < 0.5 AND
Interest Coverage > 5 AND
OPM 5Year > 12% AND
Debtor days < 90