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B2B businesses hide their problems in the order book.

Here are the 6 metrics that reveal execution quality before it shows up in the P&L.

Bookmark this. You'll need it.

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1. Order Book

= Total unexecuted orders at quarter-end

What it shows: Future revenue visibility

Good range: 1.5-2.0x of trailing 12-month revenue

Red flag: < 1.2x (pipeline weakening)

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2. Order Inflow

= New orders won during the quarter

What it shows: Demand momentum

Good range: Growing 10-15% faster than revenue

Red flag: Growing slower than revenue for 2+ quarters

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3. Book-to-Bill Ratio

= Order Inflow ÷ Quarterly Revenue

What it shows: Whether you're winning orders faster than executing

**Good range:** 1.2-1.5x consistently

**Red flag:** < 1.0x for 2 quarters (demand drying up)

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4. Execution Rate

= Orders Executed ÷ Opening Order Book (annual %)

What it shows: Operational efficiency, delivery capability

**Good range:** 75-90% per year

**Red flag:** < 70% (project delays or cancellations)

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5. Order Book Aging

= % of order book older than 12 months

What it shows: Stuck projects, execution bottlenecks

**Good range:** < 30% of total book

**Red flag:** > 50% (high cancellation risk)

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6. OPM Trajectory

= Operating Profit Margin on new orders vs legacy book

What it shows: Pricing power on fresh orders

Good range: New order OPM ≥ legacy OPM

Red flag: New order OPM < legacy by 3%+ (pricing pressure)

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Bonus Metric: Working Capital Days

= (Receivables + Inventory - Payables) ÷ Daily Revenue

What it shows: Cash conversion quality

**Good range:** < 90 days

**Red flag:** > 120 days (cash flow stress building)

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Why these metrics matter:

Revenue growth is backward-looking.

Order book quality is forward-looking.

I've tracked these across 40+ B2B stocks over 5 years.

Pattern: Companies that fail 3+ of these metrics underperform by 15-25% over the next 12 months.

Pattern: Companies that pass all 6 metrics outperform by 20%+ on average.

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SCREENER (Copy & Paste)

Market Capitalization > 500 AND

Sales growth 3Years > 15% AND

Average return on capital employed 3Years > 20% AND

Debt to equity < 0.5 AND

Interest Coverage > 5 AND

OPM 5Year > 12% AND

Debtor days < 90

May 21
at
4:08 PM
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