The advantage Pappas has is that he's held quite well in the House representing NH-01 since being elected back in 2018. The closest election he's had was back in 2020 where he won by 5% points whereas in 2022 and 2024 he's won re-election by roughly 8% points.

Also, WH Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt was the 2022 GOP Candidate against Pappas. He's certainly been battle tested and could be a difficult Democratic Senate Candidate the GOP could challenge next year.