As soon as Russian troops resumed their attacks after holiday rotations, AFU’s defenses in Avdeevka have begun to seriously collapse. Russian forces continue to do far better in urban environments where there is cover. In the open steppes of north Avdeevka, they are quite brutally repulsed with some of the worst carnage I’ve seen of the war thus far. But in the conurbanation of the south, they move smoothly forward. Interestingly, a
- A50, shot down or not? The whole thing gone quiet on Ru side
- With all the failed attacks in Northern Avdiivka, how come (according to Mediazona) Ru casualties are still low? I been seeing a lot of drone footage and its pretty gruesome.
- Whats your sense of Ukr transitioning to a mass terror campaign, targeting civlians in Russia? Duran guys sense that Budanov wants to do this and Zelensky will back him
One thing about US & NATO weapons: to my understanding, mostly older and obsolete weapon platforms have been sent. It seems to me the top shelf weapon systems, operated by fully trained personnel would fare better in combat, no? It goes without saying that NATO tactics are inferior to Russian ones, and Russia has weapons in stock they've not used (Felon, Checkmate). Overall, NATO wouldn't stand a chance as currently constructed.
It's sad that so many will die for what was always going to be a Russian victory. The west has never shown any sort of strategy, other than pumping US Defense spending.
Brilliant sir. I will be supporting you again in my own small way in the near future. This does not adequately reflect my admiration for your extraordinary work. Thanks again.
"Avdeevka is taking far longer than many imagined, as some believed it would fall by the end of last year. At this pace it could likely hold another three months if not even longer. It may very well hold for six months, however in the end it will certainly fall."
Simplicius headline today: "AFU Defense Collapses in Avdeevka."
LOL I'm mostly uninterested in Ukraine at this point. From here on out, it's anti-climatic. The new focus is Palestine and I'll be spending some time trying to put together a decent recap of that history and the correct solution - and the solution that will likely actually occur.
Just a layman's question here. Is the Russian language itself, at all levels including weapons software, proving a major obstacle to western efficacy in Ukraine? It was a major issue in Iraq. For all the billions spent and thousands of personnel, no-one was interested in learning the language. Total reliance on interpreters. Caused huge problems.
As Avdeevka goes, so goes Ukraine!
The shift now will probably be towards a "High-Kinetic" insurgency.
Budanov & cronies will likely be given the Helm of this Rump state.
Zelensky & pals? Likely to be chucked out of power!
Europe? The various vassals there will train & house the Nazis to be used in said insurgency.
Tragedy!
Good News!!! Thanks. And Netenyahoo looks like he's gett'n his balls squeezed !
Glad to see the Stripe situation has worked out
Couple of questions:
- A50, shot down or not? The whole thing gone quiet on Ru side
- With all the failed attacks in Northern Avdiivka, how come (according to Mediazona) Ru casualties are still low? I been seeing a lot of drone footage and its pretty gruesome.
- Whats your sense of Ukr transitioning to a mass terror campaign, targeting civlians in Russia? Duran guys sense that Budanov wants to do this and Zelensky will back him
What will Russia do once NATO intervenes in Ukraine using the cover of its planned
Military excercises ?
Biden does not even speak to Putin and will never negotiate with him
What, no Tesla Tanks and Kirov Airships to support the AI-controlled tanks?
One thing about US & NATO weapons: to my understanding, mostly older and obsolete weapon platforms have been sent. It seems to me the top shelf weapon systems, operated by fully trained personnel would fare better in combat, no? It goes without saying that NATO tactics are inferior to Russian ones, and Russia has weapons in stock they've not used (Felon, Checkmate). Overall, NATO wouldn't stand a chance as currently constructed.
How do they say in Russian I got my pants full of shit comrade?
Thanks for the analysis Simplicius.
It's sad that so many will die for what was always going to be a Russian victory. The west has never shown any sort of strategy, other than pumping US Defense spending.
A Skeptic War Reports
https://askeptic.substack.com/p/war-reports-2024-01-22
Another awesome situation report from Simplicius the Great. Thank you, I look forward to reading your newsletter !
So Christian of you 😎 “chance to make the right choice, atone for their past errors of judgment, and realign to the accepted path...” 😇
Interesting that the Ukrainian radio intercept has the Ukrainian soldiers speaking Russian.
"Allegedly the son of a brigadier general of the French army was killed by a strike ........His partner (also killed) ......"
Partner? Le pouffe?
Brilliant sir. I will be supporting you again in my own small way in the near future. This does not adequately reflect my admiration for your extraordinary work. Thanks again.
i hope you are right that the tide is turning against mean spirited discrimination by fascists
Simplicius two days ago:
"Avdeevka is taking far longer than many imagined, as some believed it would fall by the end of last year. At this pace it could likely hold another three months if not even longer. It may very well hold for six months, however in the end it will certainly fall."
Simplicius headline today: "AFU Defense Collapses in Avdeevka."
LOL I'm mostly uninterested in Ukraine at this point. From here on out, it's anti-climatic. The new focus is Palestine and I'll be spending some time trying to put together a decent recap of that history and the correct solution - and the solution that will likely actually occur.
Just a layman's question here. Is the Russian language itself, at all levels including weapons software, proving a major obstacle to western efficacy in Ukraine? It was a major issue in Iraq. For all the billions spent and thousands of personnel, no-one was interested in learning the language. Total reliance on interpreters. Caused huge problems.