22 Comments

Tom, you several times mention Myrhorod (Poltava region) but mean Myrnohrad (Donetsk region)

Expand full comment
Mar 24Liked by Sarcastosaurus

We who read this channel are the privileged. Nobody writing in the newspapers has anything like Tom's ability to analyse this conflict.

Expand full comment
Mar 24Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Thanks for maybe the most useful report about the topic. Actually you also answered the question that captured my mind for weeks, namely a reason of suspended Patriot shots combo. Honestly if they simply short of missles it is not the worst option, because they can be bought or supplied in perspective. But if Russians created much more effective electronic contr measures, it would be much, much worse. Only SAM that could halt fully VKS Kab offensive would be Typhon with SM 6, but there is enormously small chance of supply in perspective of year or 2.

Expand full comment

Thanks again Tom an interesting report and for me it cleared so things up., if I'm understanding this its not the Russians improved its system as much as they are just trying to target more and got it right a few times and I have to say if the 138th guys were sitting one spot of 3 hrs what the hell do they expect , that would be dumb not good training or following training but what do I know

Expand full comment

If Ukraine does not get a help from US it will be very hard to hold a line

Expand full comment
Mar 25Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Solid write up. You should have worked for us in 1-5th FA in the targeting cell, you definitely have the mindset for it. Excellent points on the location situation and how that really effects things. Nothing is ever simple, and it's never as simple as you think it should or would be.

Expand full comment

Excellent article. The informants angle makes the most sense

Expand full comment

It`s about time ZSU do the thing, where it force all civilians out of front line regions.

There are to many pro-Russian people or people easily to bribe.

Good analyze, that confirms oppinion of some Ukraine channels, that it`s intelligence leak.

Expand full comment

Excellent analysis.

One question..Why is RUS making this effort, here, in this direcuand not others?

Expand full comment

informants in Ukraine about what? Which frontline villages to hit?

Expand full comment