Hello everybody! After answering most of questions that came back in response to my update from two days ago, somebody asked me for yet more commentary about Macron’s announcements about deployment of French troops in Ukraine… I mean: really…? I’m already short on commentary useful as ‘introduction’, but should now say something about an incompetent-banker-cum-wannabe-world-leader in urgent need of PR-points…?
"46th Airborne…which, by sheer accident, came into being in similar fashion like the 67th" - I'm not that much sure, yet the 46th looks like just a newly-formed traditional brigade with a traditional symbolics and motto, not a semi-self-organized ideological volunteers like 67th, or 3rd Assault (Azov the movement) or even 47th (wich is an experimental volunteer unit, yet not an ideological one).
I know is kind of “Boring” to speak about 1-2 Platoons gaining or losing 30-50 meters in some frontline, but to “remind” it is IMHO necessary for focus the like-Fish attention of Western politicians, “experten” and public in general about RuZZian aggression war against Ukraine is still bloodily and sadly raging.
I think that Macron is currently the smartest leader in the West - the one-eyed among the blind. While Biden and Scholz were quick to declare their own “red lines” - we are not doing this, we are not giving that, Macron started to sound ambivalent, to bluff etc. it would be even better had he taken the next step - if you don’t want to see French troops on the front line, then provide that and that weapon(s) but I think this is the direction he is moving. No wonder that let-the-conflict-freeze camp ( Biden&Scholz) are reportedly angry by Macron’s “escalation.” Of course there is also much more that France can do. Recently France promised 70 Caesars and a lot of her old IFVs but I’m not sure when they will be actually delivered.
Alright….wait a second…… How the HELL can a BRIGADE have a Full Artillery Regiment AND at least 7 other Battalions???? I guess that would be at least 12 Bn or more.....but DAMN!!!!!
Hey….if people are wondering what the conditions are like on the front lines have them reference some of the front lines in World War I….especially in the Lowlands.
Tom, Lloyd Austin explicitly saying that Ukrainians shouldn’t attack refineries - maybe these strikes were more effective than you(we) thought? As the pause in these strikes suggests that Ukraine can’t go (or is not willing to) against the wishes of its largest arms supplier, I think that then this resource should be used against the Russian airbases with even less hesitation. And from time to time the other arms facilities, chemical plants, the steel facilities (if the strike against the Lipetsk factory was successful, I think that curbing of the steel production in Russia becomes a real possibility but somehow I doubt that a few drones caused a lasting damage in Lipetsk)
Thanks for the update Tom. I wonder what you think about the recently fielded Ukrainian loitering munition RAM-X. https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1777712898401267723. Seems like if produced in large numbers could cause serious issues for the Russians
"46th Airborne…which, by sheer accident, came into being in similar fashion like the 67th" - I'm not that much sure, yet the 46th looks like just a newly-formed traditional brigade with a traditional symbolics and motto, not a semi-self-organized ideological volunteers like 67th, or 3rd Assault (Azov the movement) or even 47th (wich is an experimental volunteer unit, yet not an ideological one).
How would one implement terminal guidance at 1000 km range with no AWACS or satellites available?
I know is kind of “Boring” to speak about 1-2 Platoons gaining or losing 30-50 meters in some frontline, but to “remind” it is IMHO necessary for focus the like-Fish attention of Western politicians, “experten” and public in general about RuZZian aggression war against Ukraine is still bloodily and sadly raging.
Thanks for your time and your work!
Thanks Tom.
Btw, the distance between Soledar and Chasyv Yar is 22km. 15 months.
I think that Macron is currently the smartest leader in the West - the one-eyed among the blind. While Biden and Scholz were quick to declare their own “red lines” - we are not doing this, we are not giving that, Macron started to sound ambivalent, to bluff etc. it would be even better had he taken the next step - if you don’t want to see French troops on the front line, then provide that and that weapon(s) but I think this is the direction he is moving. No wonder that let-the-conflict-freeze camp ( Biden&Scholz) are reportedly angry by Macron’s “escalation.” Of course there is also much more that France can do. Recently France promised 70 Caesars and a lot of her old IFVs but I’m not sure when they will be actually delivered.
Methinks that the French troops took the wrong train and went to London, instead.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3I7_wJT3FPA
Thanks Tom, not a lot of encouraging new in this report but it is what it is
That BM-21 makes a BEAUTIFUL looking Flower.
Alright….wait a second…… How the HELL can a BRIGADE have a Full Artillery Regiment AND at least 7 other Battalions???? I guess that would be at least 12 Bn or more.....but DAMN!!!!!
Hey….if people are wondering what the conditions are like on the front lines have them reference some of the front lines in World War I….especially in the Lowlands.
Tom, Lloyd Austin explicitly saying that Ukrainians shouldn’t attack refineries - maybe these strikes were more effective than you(we) thought? As the pause in these strikes suggests that Ukraine can’t go (or is not willing to) against the wishes of its largest arms supplier, I think that then this resource should be used against the Russian airbases with even less hesitation. And from time to time the other arms facilities, chemical plants, the steel facilities (if the strike against the Lipetsk factory was successful, I think that curbing of the steel production in Russia becomes a real possibility but somehow I doubt that a few drones caused a lasting damage in Lipetsk)
Thanks for the update Tom. I wonder what you think about the recently fielded Ukrainian loitering munition RAM-X. https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1777712898401267723. Seems like if produced in large numbers could cause serious issues for the Russians
The 46th brigade (remnants) is also standing in the Mariinsky direction.
Not sure about the 33rd mech, but there is definitely a 33rd engineer battalion there. Maybe a mistake