good essay. A few extra points though. One, is six months long enough? Two, how are you really gonna stop these guys from experimenting during that period? And three, what about everybody else in the world? Like I don’t know, China?
Are we already inhaling our own hallucinating AI fumes, and what is to stop this from becoming an irreversible "tragedy of the information commons" due to poisons we cannot filter out?
I'm not sure that the pace of AI has been that fast. Consider that the AI researchers have largely looked down on the innovation of ChatGPT. Their condescension is unwarranted (having a good product actually matters, academics) ... but the AI field hasn't moved at the breakneck space that the MBA field has moved.
Put another way, Sam Altman is an executive, not an engineer or researcher. So why would we expect Sam Altman to know much about the speed of AI progress?
good essay. A few extra points though. One, is six months long enough? Two, how are you really gonna stop these guys from experimenting during that period? And three, what about everybody else in the world? Like I don’t know, China?
Here is the possibly immediate risk that seems most concerning -- can you determine how real it is?
Are AI chatbots already polluting the only well we have?
Has the horse already left the barn, and what controls are currently in place? Carl Bergstrom raised this (https://fediscience.org/@ct_bergstrom/110071929312312906) asking "what happens when AI chatbots pollute our information environment and then start feeding on this pollution. As it so often, the case, we didn’t have to wait long to get some hint of the kind of mess we could be looking at. https://www.theverge.com/2023/3/22/23651564/google-microsoft-bard-bing-chatbots-misinformation."
Are we already inhaling our own hallucinating AI fumes, and what is to stop this from becoming an irreversible "tragedy of the information commons" due to poisons we cannot filter out?
Do you now regret berating Google for holding back Bard? I recall you saying “ship it or zip it” 🤔
I'm not sure that the pace of AI has been that fast. Consider that the AI researchers have largely looked down on the innovation of ChatGPT. Their condescension is unwarranted (having a good product actually matters, academics) ... but the AI field hasn't moved at the breakneck space that the MBA field has moved.
Put another way, Sam Altman is an executive, not an engineer or researcher. So why would we expect Sam Altman to know much about the speed of AI progress?