Will Nate Silver sign up for Manifold by July 2023?
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resolved Jul 1
Resolved
NO

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predicted NO

Generally the first thing famous people do when they join manifold is insider trade on markets about themselves, so I'm comfortable resolving this.

Let's all take a moment to thank @BTE for helping boost the insider trading payout.

@MichaelWheatley What is this in reference to?

bought Ṁ10 of YES

@IsaacKing I think he is referencing me buying it from 50-64 immediately upon opening. Then he, as an insider (creator) banked. I don't know Nate Silver, though I do know his sister, but she stopped talking to me when I asked her to introduce me to her brother. 100-percent true story.

@IsaacKing The lower the price is, the more free mana Nate Silver gets when he sign's up by betting YES. ... except wait a minute... BTE is the villain here, he was supposed ot bet NO.

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