The Democrats are likely to lose the House but keep the Senate
Meet our election-forecasting model for America’s 2022 midterms
In the 40 midterm elections to have taken place since 1862, the president’s party has lost seats in the House of Representatives 36 times. America’s midterm elections, which take place on November 8th, are almost always a referendum on the occupant of the White House and his party. (All seats in the House are contested, as are 35 of the Senate’s 100 seats.) But unusually, a former president looms large in these elections. And Donald Trump appears to be a drag on Republicans’ prospects.
This article appeared in the United States section of the print edition under the headline "Split decision"
United States September 10th 2022
- The Democrats are likely to lose the House but keep the Senate
- A water crisis in Mississippi’s capital is a harbinger of worse
- American hospital food is fast improving
- The demise of Roe v Wade has fired up the Democrats
- More American prisoners are receiving a tech-based education
- Joe Biden and Donald Trump agree on one thing
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