Cross-Tabs for October 2022 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters

Oct. 18, 2022

These cross-tabs show responses among registered voters. View the survey’s topline results and cross-tabs among the likely electorate.

Do you think the United States is on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Right track	24%	30%	23%	22%	25%	24%	25%	28%	22%	20%	27%	44%	26%	17%	26%	33%	21%	19%	29%	25%	20%	43%	6%	42%	10%	24%
Wrong direction	62%	56%	60%	69%	61%	63%	61%	58%	65%	68%	53%	40%	62%	72%	61%	55%	66%	63%	52%	62%	70%	40%	91%	37%	86%	64%
[VOLUNTEERED] Don’t know/Refused	14%	14%	17%	9%	13%	14%	14%	13%	13%	12%	20%	17%	12%	11%	13%	11%	12%	18%	19%	13%	10%	17%	3%	21%	4%	11%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

Thinking ahead to the November general election, are you almost certain that you will vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote, or not at all likely to vote?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Almost certain	51%	29%	49%	54%	65%	52%	50%	58%	46%	55%	42%	34%	62%	50%	47%	54%	53%	46%	47%	50%	53%	55%	60%	52%	48%	52%
Very likely	31%	39%	31%	32%	22%	29%	33%	31%	31%	31%	28%	44%	30%	31%	35%	25%	29%	37%	34%	29%	31%	32%	32%	32%	35%	29%
Somewhat likely	7%	14%	10%	6%	3%	8%	7%	5%	8%	6%	10%	14%	5%	6%	6%	10%	8%	6%	8%	8%	6%	7%	4%	8%	8%	6%
Not very likely	3%	9%	5%	1%	2%	4%	3%	2%	4%	3%	1%	4%	2%	4%	3%	4%	2%	5%	3%	4%	2%	1%	1%	1%	3%	4%
Not at all likely	4%	6%	6%	3%	1%	4%	4%	2%	5%	3%	13%	3%	<.5%	5%	4%	3%	5%	4%	4%	4%	4%	<.5%	1%	4%	2%	5%
Already voted	1%	1%	-	1%	4%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	3%	-	1%	2%	3%	1%	2%	-	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	4%	1%	<.5%
[VOL] DK/REF	2%	3%	-	2%	2%	2%	1%	<.5%	3%	1%	3%	2%	-	2%	2%	3%	1%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	1%	<.5%	3%	3%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

If this year’s elections for Congress were held today, which party’s candidate would you be more likely to vote for in your district: [IF DON'T KNOW: If you had to decide today, would you lean toward …]
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
The Democratic candidate	46%	57%	46%	38%	48%	44%	48%	53%	41%	40%	76%	59%	50%	33%	41%	52%	45%	45%	61%	47%	32%	88%	3%	94%	2%	47%
The Republican candidate	46%	34%	42%	58%	48%	48%	45%	40%	50%	54%	20%	33%	46%	59%	50%	39%	49%	44%	31%	44%	60%	6%	95%	5%	95%	43%
[VOL] DK/REF	8%	10%	12%	3%	5%	8%	7%	6%	9%	6%	4%	8%	4%	7%	8%	8%	6%	11%	8%	9%	8%	6%	3%	2%	2%	10%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Strongly approve	16%	5%	11%	15%	24%	13%	18%	22%	12%	14%	26%	13%	21%	10%	14%	19%	17%	12%	16%	19%	12%	34%	1%	38%	-	11%
Somewhat approve	22%	36%	24%	20%	17%	22%	22%	26%	19%	19%	27%	35%	23%	16%	15%	25%	23%	23%	29%	23%	15%	40%	2%	37%	6%	25%
Somewhat disapprove	15%	28%	25%	7%	9%	17%	14%	13%	17%	12%	20%	24%	12%	12%	18%	10%	11%	24%	19%	14%	13%	15%	10%	12%	10%	22%
Strongly disapprove	42%	18%	33%	55%	47%	43%	40%	35%	46%	50%	18%	21%	38%	58%	46%	38%	46%	34%	26%	41%	55%	6%	86%	8%	82%	35%
[VOL] DK/REF	6%	14%	6%	3%	4%	5%	6%	5%	6%	5%	9%	7%	6%	4%	6%	7%	3%	7%	10%	3%	5%	5%	2%	5%	2%	7%
NET approve	37%	41%	35%	35%	41%	35%	40%	47%	31%	33%	53%	48%	44%	26%	30%	44%	40%	35%	45%	41%	27%	74%	3%	75%	6%	36%
NET disapprove	57%	46%	59%	62%	56%	61%	54%	47%	63%	62%	38%	45%	50%	70%	64%	49%	57%	58%	45%	55%	68%	21%	95%	20%	92%	57%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

Tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Very favorable	22%	9%	19%	26%	30%	22%	22%	13%	27%	26%	10%	13%	14%	33%	29%	14%	26%	17%	13%	19%	32%	1%	47%	4%	51%	13%
Somewhat favorable	20%	21%	22%	21%	14%	21%	18%	21%	19%	21%	8%	24%	23%	19%	15%	22%	21%	20%	15%	18%	24%	3%	40%	4%	30%	25%
Somewhat unfavorable	10%	18%	11%	11%	4%	15%	7%	9%	11%	9%	15%	13%	7%	11%	10%	8%	9%	15%	13%	11%	8%	8%	6%	10%	6%	13%
Very unfavorable	42%	44%	45%	37%	48%	38%	46%	54%	35%	43%	57%	35%	54%	35%	43%	49%	37%	43%	53%	46%	31%	83%	3%	78%	9%	43%
[VOL] Have not heard of	<.5%	-	-	-	-	<.5%	-	-	-	-	-	1%	-	-	-	-	-	<.5%	<.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
[VOL] DK/REF	5%	8%	3%	4%	3%	4%	7%	3%	7%	2%	10%	13%	1%	3%	3%	6%	7%	5%	6%	5%	5%	4%	3%	4%	3%	6%
NET favorable	42%	29%	40%	47%	44%	43%	40%	34%	46%	46%	18%	38%	37%	52%	44%	36%	47%	37%	28%	38%	56%	4%	87%	8%	81%	38%
NET unfavorable	53%	62%	56%	48%	53%	53%	53%	63%	47%	52%	72%	48%	61%	46%	53%	57%	47%	57%	65%	57%	39%	92%	10%	88%	16%	56%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

I know it's a very long way away, but in the 2024 presidential primaries and caucuses do you think you will vote in the Republican primary or the Democratic primary, or are you unlikely to vote in a presidential primary or caucus?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Democratic primary	34%	37%	36%	27%	37%	31%	37%	43%	28%	28%	63%	41%	40%	21%	32%	38%	34%	31%	43%	35%	25%	70%	2%	84%	1%	20%
Republican primary	42%	29%	36%	53%	44%	44%	40%	38%	44%	50%	13%	26%	44%	54%	44%	34%	44%	43%	27%	39%	55%	8%	87%	3%	88%	38%
Unlikely to vote in primary	13%	19%	15%	9%	10%	15%	10%	12%	13%	12%	14%	12%	10%	13%	13%	12%	12%	14%	13%	14%	11%	11%	6%	8%	2%	27%
[VOL] DK/REF	12%	14%	13%	11%	10%	10%	13%	7%	15%	10%	10%	22%	6%	12%	12%	16%	11%	12%	17%	12%	9%	11%	5%	6%	10%	15%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

(Among those who plan to vote in the Republican primary) If the Republican 2024 presidential primary were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Donald Trump	49%	55%	47%	43%	58%	41%	58%	33%	56%	47%	63%	57%	30%	56%	53%	41%	49%	49%	47%	42%	54%	16%	55%	54%	55%	42%
Ron DeSantis [Duh-San-Tis]	26%	23%	33%	30%	18%	31%	21%	37%	21%	27%	20%	25%	39%	21%	24%	33%	28%	22%	18%	36%	22%	5%	30%	17%	25%	26%
Mike Pence	6%	7%	6%	4%	7%	8%	4%	7%	5%	6%	-	-	7%	6%	7%	5%	2%	12%	10%	3%	7%	32%	3%	17%	4%	9%
Ted Cruz	4%	5%	3%	6%	1%	3%	4%	5%	3%	3%	6%	11%	5%	2%	3%	1%	5%	3%	8%	2%	4%	-	4%	-	3%	5%
Nikki Haley	3%	4%	6%	2%	4%	6%	1%	6%	2%	3%	11%	5%	8%	1%	2%	5%	3%	5%	7%	4%	2%	24%	1%	-	2%	8%
Mike Pompeo [Paam-pay-ow]	2%	4%	2%	2%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%	3%	-	-	2%	3%	1%	3%	2%	3%	3%	4%	1%	11%	2%	-	2%	3%
[VOL] Someone else	2%	-	-	3%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	-	-	2%	2%	2%	-	3%	-	-	2%	2%	-	1%	-	1%	1%
[VOL] DK/REF	8%	3%	4%	11%	8%	9%	7%	9%	7%	8%	-	1%	8%	8%	8%	11%	8%	6%	7%	8%	9%	12%	4%	12%	8%	7%
Number of respondents	332	28	67	132	92	181	149	149	180	259	9	28	115	142	69	60	129	74	56	127	149	27	257	6	214	87
Percent of total electorate	100%	10%	20%	40%	26%	51%	48%	33%	66%	79%	3%	8%	27%	51%	22%	17%	37%	23%	17%	37%	46%	7%	78%	2%	64%	26%

Now thinking about the 2024 general election … if the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Joe Biden, the Democrat	42%	53%	39%	37%	47%	39%	46%	53%	36%	39%	63%	53%	50%	31%	37%	51%	38%	46%	53%	46%	31%	89%	1%	87%	4%	41%
Donald Trump, the Republican	43%	32%	40%	52%	44%	46%	40%	33%	48%	49%	18%	33%	37%	56%	46%	36%	47%	39%	28%	38%	58%	3%	94%	7%	87%	37%
[VOL] Another candidate	5%	5%	6%	4%	3%	6%	3%	5%	5%	4%	5%	5%	4%	4%	7%	6%	4%	4%	7%	5%	4%	3%	2%	2%	3%	6%
[VOL] Not going to vote/wouldn't vote if those were the choices	6%	2%	10%	4%	4%	6%	5%	6%	6%	4%	8%	7%	5%	4%	5%	3%	5%	9%	6%	6%	4%	4%	2%	2%	4%	8%
[VOL] DK/REF	4%	7%	5%	3%	3%	3%	5%	3%	4%	4%	5%	3%	3%	4%	4%	4%	5%	2%	6%	4%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	8%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

What do you think is the MOST important problem facing the country today?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
[VOL] The economy (including jobs, stock market)	26%	27%	22%	32%	22%	31%	21%	22%	27%	26%	21%	34%	22%	28%	21%	27%	26%	28%	22%	27%	27%	16%	37%	18%	35%	23%
[VOL] Inflation or the cost of living	19%	18%	26%	16%	16%	20%	18%	15%	21%	19%	21%	15%	15%	22%	18%	19%	21%	16%	14%	19%	22%	16%	21%	19%	25%	14%
[VOL] Abortion	4%	4%	4%	6%	4%	1%	8%	4%	4%	3%	5%	5%	3%	2%	6%	4%	2%	7%	5%	3%	5%	7%	3%	7%	2%	6%
[VOL] Immigration	5%	3%	2%	4%	11%	3%	7%	3%	6%	6%	1%	4%	4%	8%	7%	3%	5%	5%	4%	4%	7%	1%	9%	1%	12%	3%
[VOL] Crime	3%	1%	-	3%	5%	1%	4%	1%	3%	3%	3%	2%	2%	4%	2%	4%	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	2%	4%	2%	5%	2%
[VOL] Gun policies	2%	3%	2%	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	2%	<.5%	8%	6%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	3%	2%	4%	1%	2%	3%	1%	2%	-	2%
[VOL] health care	1%	1%	3%	1%	-	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	-	1%	2%	-	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	<.5%	1%	1%	1%	<.5%	2%
[VOL] Education	1%	3%	2%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	-	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	-	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	<.5%
[VOL] Foreign policy	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	<.5%	1%	1%	1%	<.5%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	<.5%	2%	1%	1%	<.5%	1%	1%	-	1%
[VOL] Russia/war in Ukraine	2%	3%	1%	<.5%	5%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	3%	3%	3%	1%	2%	3%	1%	2%	3%	1%	3%	1%	2%
[VOL] China	<.5%	-	<.5%	-	<.5%	-	1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	1%	<.5%	-	-	<.5%	1%	<.5%	-	1%	<.5%	-	1%	<.5%	1%	-
[VOL] Climate change	3%	7%	9%	1%	<.5%	3%	3%	5%	3%	4%	1%	2%	5%	3%	2%	3%	2%	6%	4%	3%	3%	5%	<.5%	4%	-	5%
[VOL] Coronavirus	<.5%	-	-	-	1%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	-	<.5%	-	-	1%	-	1%	-	-	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	-	<.5%	-	1%	-	-
[VOL] The state of democracy	7%	6%	5%	8%	7%	8%	5%	10%	5%	8%	1%	5%	12%	6%	6%	8%	6%	7%	6%	9%	5%	10%	3%	9%	4%	7%
[VOL] Election integrity	1%	-	<.5%	2%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	1%	<.5%	1%	1%	-	2%	<.5%	1%	1%	1%	-	1%	1%	<.5%	1%	1%	1%	1%	-
[VOL] Equality/inequality	1%	1%	4%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	1%	3%	<.5%	1%	3%	2%	3%	-	2%	<.5%	2%	<.5%	4%	<.5%	-	3%	-	2%	-	1%
[VOL] Polarization/division	4%	5%	4%	4%	4%	5%	3%	5%	3%	4%	5%	2%	6%	2%	6%	4%	3%	4%	3%	4%	5%	6%	3%	4%	3%	6%
[VOL] Racism/racial issues	2%	5%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	8%	5%	2%	1%	<.5%	3%	4%	1%	1%	3%	2%	3%	-	4%	-	4%
[VOL] Trump/Republicans	3%	-	2%	3%	5%	3%	3%	5%	2%	3%	4%	-	6%	2%	2%	2%	4%	1%	4%	2%	2%	5%	<.5%	6%	<.5%	2%
[VOL] Biden/Biden administration/Democrats	2%	1%	1%	2%	3%	3%	1%	1%	2%	2%	-	1%	1%	3%	2%	1%	3%	2%	1%	3%	3%	<.5%	5%	<.5%	4%	2%
[VOL] Other (specify)	9%	9%	7%	11%	6%	8%	10%	10%	9%	10%	4%	8%	11%	9%	11%	8%	6%	13%	10%	9%	9%	10%	7%	6%	6%	13%
[VOL] Refused	4%	1%	2%	4%	5%	2%	5%	2%	4%	3%	9%	3%	1%	3%	5%	4%	3%	2%	4%	3%	3%	4%	2%	4%	2%	3%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

Thinking about people you meet, do you think other peoples’ political views …
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Tell you a lot about whether someone is a good person	14%	16%	11%	13%	18%	12%	15%	12%	15%	13%	18%	11%	9%	15%	13%	14%	13%	16%	15%	15%	12%	17%	14%	19%	14%	8%
Tell you a little about whether someone is a good person	34%	50%	31%	32%	30%	34%	34%	39%	31%	36%	34%	34%	43%	32%	31%	34%	34%	36%	39%	29%	35%	36%	33%	35%	33%	37%
Don’t tell you anything about whether someone is a good person	40%	30%	53%	42%	33%	43%	38%	43%	39%	40%	39%	39%	43%	37%	42%	41%	41%	37%	36%	44%	39%	36%	41%	36%	38%	45%
[VOL] DK/REF	12%	4%	5%	13%	19%	11%	13%	6%	15%	12%	9%	16%	5%	16%	14%	11%	12%	12%	10%	12%	13%	11%	13%	10%	14%	10%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

Have you had any disagreements recently with family or friends over political issues that hurt your relationship?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Yes	19%	15%	21%	20%	15%	16%	21%	22%	17%	20%	7%	20%	24%	19%	19%	18%	21%	16%	18%	20%	18%	22%	16%	20%	14%	21%
No	81%	82%	79%	79%	85%	84%	78%	78%	82%	79%	92%	80%	76%	80%	81%	81%	78%	84%	80%	80%	82%	78%	83%	80%	86%	77%
[VOL] DK/REF	1%	3%	-	1%	-	<.5%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	-	<.5%	1%	-	2%	1%	-	2%	<.5%	-	-	<.5%	-	-	2%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

Which comes closest to your views, even if neither is exactly right?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
The government mainly works to benefit ordinary people	22%	19%	23%	21%	26%	21%	23%	28%	19%	22%	20%	19%	29%	18%	20%	25%	24%	19%	22%	25%	19%	28%	17%	30%	21%	16%
The government mainly works to benefit powerful elites	68%	77%	67%	71%	59%	70%	65%	61%	71%	68%	65%	73%	61%	73%	74%	58%	67%	73%	68%	65%	71%	61%	76%	58%	74%	71%
[VOL] DK/REF	10%	4%	10%	8%	15%	9%	11%	11%	10%	10%	14%	7%	10%	9%	6%	17%	10%	8%	11%	10%	10%	11%	6%	12%	4%	13%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

Which comes closest to your views, even if neither is exactly right?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Presidents should do what they think is best, even if that might go outside of existing rules	34%	53%	37%	28%	25%	29%	38%	30%	35%	29%	45%	52%	25%	32%	37%	36%	33%	30%	38%	35%	29%	32%	33%	37%	37%	27%
Presidents should follow existing rules, even if that prevents them from doing what they think is best	57%	44%	52%	65%	61%	61%	53%	63%	54%	63%	41%	40%	67%	60%	57%	52%	56%	62%	53%	59%	57%	62%	59%	56%	56%	62%
[VOL] DK/REF	10%	3%	12%	7%	14%	10%	9%	7%	11%	8%	14%	8%	8%	8%	6%	12%	11%	8%	9%	6%	14%	7%	8%	7%	8%	11%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

Do you think America's political system can still address the nation's problems?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Can still address the nation's problems	43%	35%	44%	47%	43%	42%	44%	50%	39%	44%	39%	41%	53%	38%	39%	43%	46%	42%	44%	42%	44%	44%	48%	41%	48%	42%
Too divided politically to solve its problems	50%	56%	52%	47%	47%	52%	47%	45%	52%	49%	54%	50%	43%	53%	55%	50%	46%	49%	50%	52%	47%	50%	48%	48%	47%	54%
[VOL] DK/REF	7%	9%	5%	6%	10%	5%	9%	4%	8%	7%	7%	9%	4%	9%	6%	7%	8%	8%	6%	6%	10%	6%	3%	10%	5%	5%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

Which comes closest to your views, even if neither is exactly right?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
American democracy is currently under threat	71%	56%	69%	73%	79%	67%	76%	76%	68%	77%	62%	65%	80%	75%	76%	69%	71%	69%	70%	71%	73%	78%	74%	74%	72%	71%
American democracy is not currently under threat	21%	35%	23%	21%	12%	25%	17%	19%	22%	18%	24%	27%	17%	19%	16%	25%	22%	20%	22%	21%	20%	16%	22%	21%	23%	22%
[VOL] DK/REF	8%	9%	8%	6%	8%	7%	8%	5%	10%	5%	14%	8%	4%	6%	8%	6%	7%	11%	8%	8%	8%	5%	3%	5%	6%	7%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

(Among those who say democracy is under threat) What one or two words do you think summarize the current threat to democracy?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
[VOL] The government/government corruption/non-specific politicians/leaders	14%	17%	14%	14%	11%	14%	13%	15%	12%	13%	11%	18%	15%	12%	18%	11%	14%	10%	18%	14%	10%	10%	18%	8%	15%	18%
[VOL] Republicans (include non-Trump named Republican leaders like McConnell)	4%	1%	5%	5%	5%	3%	5%	5%	4%	5%	-	1%	7%	4%	7%	7%	2%	3%	5%	5%	3%	10%	-	11%	-	3%
[VOL] Democrats (include non-Biden named Democratic leaders like Pelosi)	6%	2%	4%	9%	5%	5%	6%	3%	7%	7%	-	2%	4%	9%	8%	4%	6%	4%	1%	8%	6%	-	11%	-	16%	3%
[VOL] Donald Trump	8%	2%	6%	7%	16%	10%	8%	10%	7%	10%	6%	8%	11%	9%	13%	10%	6%	6%	10%	8%	8%	17%	1%	15%	2%	10%
[VOL] Joe Biden	5%	-	6%	4%	9%	4%	6%	2%	7%	6%	-	2%	2%	9%	2%	3%	6%	9%	4%	4%	7%	1%	12%	1%	8%	7%
[VOL] Socialism/communism	3%	-	2%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%	-	2%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	3%	-	5%	-	5%	3%
[VOL] Nationalism/white nationalism/right-wing extremism	5%	8%	8%	2%	3%	6%	4%	7%	3%	5%	11%	6%	7%	3%	<.5%	9%	5%	5%	7%	4%	4%	10%	<.5%	9%	<.5%	4%
[VOL] Violence/political extremism	3%	1%	4%	1%	6%	3%	4%	4%	3%	3%	5%	5%	4%	3%	2%	4%	4%	3%	2%	5%	2%	7%	1%	4%	<.5%	5%
[VOL] PC culture/woke issues/cancel culture	2%	2%	2%	4%	-	1%	3%	3%	2%	3%	-	1%	4%	2%	2%	4%	2%	<.5%	1%	3%	3%	-	5%	-	3%	2%
[VOL] Voter fraud/voting issues	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	4%	2%	5%	1%	3%	4%	-	6%	2%	2%	3%	3%	4%	2%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	2%	4%
[VOL] Misinformation/conspiracies/election denial	3%	2%	5%	2%	2%	3%	2%	4%	2%	3%	2%	2%	4%	2%	-	4%	3%	3%	<.5%	5%	2%	5%	1%	4%	1%	5%
[VOL] Societal divisions/political divisions/polarization	8%	12%	6%	12%	5%	9%	8%	9%	8%	8%	16%	9%	9%	7%	8%	8%	8%	9%	10%	9%	7%	10%	7%	11%	7%	7%
[VOL] The media	<.5%	-	-	<.5%	<.5%	-	<.5%	<.5%	-	<.5%	1%	-	<.5%	-	-	-	1%	-	-	<.5%	-	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	-
[VOL] Immigration/border control	1%	-	-	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	-	2%	1%	1%	<.5%	1%	1%	1%	<.5%	1%	2%	-	2%	-	2%	1%
[VOL] The economy/inflation	3%	5%	3%	4%	2%	4%	3%	2%	4%	3%	2%	6%	1%	4%	3%	4%	2%	6%	5%	2%	4%	2%	4%	4%	3%	2%
[VOL] Other, specify	24%	32%	23%	23%	21%	24%	24%	22%	25%	21%	31%	27%	20%	21%	24%	20%	26%	24%	29%	22%	22%	22%	20%	26%	22%	19%
[VOL] DK/REF	8%	12%	9%	6%	7%	7%	9%	4%	10%	7%	12%	11%	4%	9%	8%	5%	7%	11%	3%	5%	14%	4%	10%	5%	13%	8%
Number of respondents	584	62	130	198	162	285	293	305	273	406	53	66	213	189	117	123	216	128	150	233	201	278	225	198	173	170
Percent of total electorate	100%	12%	22%	33%	27%	45%	54%	39%	60%	70%	8%	12%	29%	41%	23%	20%	35%	22%	25%	40%	36%	45%	39%	32%	30%	29%

(Among those who say democracy is under threat) Which comes closest to your views, even if neither is exactly right?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
We will need to go outside the law to fix our democracy	17%	39%	19%	15%	7%	14%	19%	14%	19%	11%	47%	32%	9%	12%	16%	15%	17%	18%	24%	14%	16%	16%	13%	18%	11%	19%
We can fix our democracy within our laws and institutions	81%	61%	77%	82%	92%	85%	77%	86%	77%	86%	50%	64%	90%	83%	81%	83%	80%	78%	72%	85%	82%	83%	85%	81%	86%	78%
[VOL] DK/REF	3%	-	3%	3%	1%	1%	4%	1%	4%	3%	3%	4%	<.5%	4%	2%	2%	3%	4%	5%	2%	2%	2%	3%	1%	3%	3%
Number of respondents	584	62	130	198	162	285	293	305	273	406	53	66	213	189	117	123	216	128	150	233	201	278	225	198	173	170
Percent of total electorate	100%	12%	22%	33%	27%	45%	54%	39%	60%	70%	8%	12%	29%	41%	23%	20%	35%	22%	25%	40%	36%	45%	39%	32%	30%	29%

(Among those who say we will need to go outside the law to fix our democracy) How do you think we will need to go outside the law to fix our democracy?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
[VOL] Take up arms/violence/civil war	11%	11%	8%	3%	7%	9%	10%	6%	13%	12%	-	15%	8%	14%	28%	19%	1%	4%	13%	7%	13%	13%	5%	12%	8%	8%
[VOL] Improve laws/processes/general fix within the system	37%	49%	25%	39%	36%	33%	39%	48%	32%	25%	56%	42%	41%	16%	33%	28%	35%	50%	43%	34%	35%	42%	34%	47%	35%	33%
[VOL] Other, specify	18%	15%	17%	15%	38%	21%	18%	15%	20%	14%	23%	29%	12%	16%	11%	23%	23%	15%	25%	21%	10%	15%	9%	24%	13%	23%
[VOL] Refused	15%	7%	30%	19%	-	10%	19%	16%	14%	20%	4%	10%	15%	23%	3%	15%	13%	25%	13%	17%	14%	12%	24%	12%	26%	14%
[VOL] New leadership	14%	18%	-	25%	18%	19%	11%	5%	18%	23%	9%	-	8%	31%	25%	-	21%	5%	4%	9%	28%	5%	28%	3%	19%	8%
[VOL] Protest	5%	-	19%	-	-	8%	3%	10%	2%	5%	7%	3%	15%	-	-	14%	7%	-	3%	11%	-	12%	-	2%	-	13%
Number of respondents	80	19	21	25	9	32	46	37	43	34	20	15	16	18	16	17	29	18	28	29	23	37	23	30	18	24
Percent of total electorate	100%	26%	25%	30%	10%	38%	59%	32%	68%	43%	24%	23%	16%	27%	20%	18%	36%	26%	31%	35%	34%	41%	31%	36%	21%	30%

(Among those who say democracy is under threat) Do you think each of the following is a major threat, minor threat or not a threat to democracy?
Republicans
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Major threat to democracy	28%	28%	32%	22%	33%	27%	29%	37%	22%	26%	55%	30%	35%	19%	27%	33%	26%	28%	36%	31%	20%	52%	5%	57%	5%	23%
Minor threat to democracy	39%	59%	37%	41%	31%	38%	41%	34%	43%	39%	29%	50%	36%	42%	40%	43%	35%	42%	39%	32%	49%	36%	42%	34%	40%	44%
Not a threat to democracy	29%	13%	29%	34%	32%	31%	28%	26%	32%	31%	14%	20%	26%	35%	33%	21%	33%	28%	22%	35%	28%	9%	51%	5%	53%	31%
[VOL] DK/REF	3%	-	2%	3%	4%	4%	2%	3%	3%	4%	2%	-	4%	4%	-	3%	5%	2%	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	4%	2%	2%
Number of respondents	584	62	130	198	162	285	293	305	273	406	53	66	213	189	117	123	216	128	150	233	201	278	225	198	173	170
Percent of total electorate	100%	12%	22%	33%	27%	45%	54%	39%	60%	70%	8%	12%	29%	41%	23%	20%	35%	22%	25%	40%	36%	45%	39%	32%	30%	29%

Democrats
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Major threat to democracy	33%	12%	23%	41%	41%	30%	36%	24%	39%	37%	8%	28%	24%	46%	35%	28%	35%	32%	22%	27%	48%	5%	71%	5%	66%	31%
Minor threat to democracy	30%	61%	41%	24%	17%	35%	26%	33%	29%	25%	51%	47%	31%	21%	30%	23%	29%	39%	38%	30%	25%	33%	20%	31%	27%	31%
Not a threat to democracy	34%	27%	33%	33%	39%	33%	35%	43%	28%	35%	40%	25%	44%	29%	31%	48%	31%	27%	38%	39%	25%	60%	6%	61%	6%	35%
[VOL] DK/REF	3%	-	3%	2%	4%	2%	3%	1%	4%	2%	2%	1%	1%	4%	3%	1%	4%	2%	2%	4%	2%	3%	2%	3%	1%	3%
Number of respondents	584	62	130	198	162	285	293	305	273	406	53	66	213	189	117	123	216	128	150	233	201	278	225	198	173	170
Percent of total electorate	100%	12%	22%	33%	27%	45%	54%	39%	60%	70%	8%	12%	29%	41%	23%	20%	35%	22%	25%	40%	36%	45%	39%	32%	30%	29%

Donald Trump
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Major threat to democracy	45%	36%	52%	41%	48%	44%	46%	56%	37%	43%	66%	42%	57%	33%	42%	54%	41%	46%	53%	50%	33%	87%	4%	84%	7%	47%
Minor threat to democracy	22%	48%	23%	20%	12%	24%	20%	18%	25%	19%	21%	38%	18%	21%	22%	16%	21%	29%	27%	16%	26%	10%	30%	12%	27%	23%
Not a threat to democracy	31%	15%	23%	37%	40%	31%	32%	25%	35%	36%	13%	18%	25%	43%	36%	26%	36%	25%	19%	31%	40%	3%	65%	4%	65%	29%
[VOL] DK/REF	2%	1%	2%	2%	<.5%	1%	2%	<.5%	2%	2%	-	2%	-	3%	-	4%	2%	-	1%	2%	1%	<.5%	1%	1%	1%	1%
Number of respondents	584	62	130	198	162	285	293	305	273	406	53	66	213	189	117	123	216	128	150	233	201	278	225	198	173	170
Percent of total electorate	100%	12%	22%	33%	27%	45%	54%	39%	60%	70%	8%	12%	29%	41%	23%	20%	35%	22%	25%	40%	36%	45%	39%	32%	30%	29%

Joe Biden
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Major threat to democracy	38%	14%	31%	51%	43%	35%	41%	27%	45%	44%	17%	16%	27%	56%	38%	34%	42%	36%	20%	39%	51%	4%	80%	5%	78%	33%
Minor threat to democracy	22%	51%	24%	17%	11%	24%	20%	21%	23%	16%	34%	49%	20%	14%	21%	15%	22%	31%	33%	15%	23%	26%	13%	24%	12%	29%
Not a threat to democracy	37%	30%	44%	31%	42%	40%	35%	51%	27%	37%	48%	28%	51%	27%	37%	48%	32%	34%	43%	44%	24%	68%	5%	68%	7%	37%
[VOL] DK/REF	3%	5%	1%	2%	4%	1%	4%	1%	4%	3%	-	7%	1%	4%	4%	3%	4%	-	5%	2%	2%	1%	2%	3%	3%	<.5%
Number of respondents	584	62	130	198	162	285	293	305	273	406	53	66	213	189	117	123	216	128	150	233	201	278	225	198	173	170
Percent of total electorate	100%	12%	22%	33%	27%	45%	54%	39%	60%	70%	8%	12%	29%	41%	23%	20%	35%	22%	25%	40%	36%	45%	39%	32%	30%	29%

The federal government
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Major threat to democracy	33%	35%	22%	36%	37%	27%	37%	19%	41%	34%	39%	24%	17%	45%	41%	25%	34%	31%	29%	27%	42%	16%	52%	14%	50%	33%
Minor threat to democracy	33%	38%	42%	34%	25%	34%	33%	35%	32%	30%	33%	50%	33%	28%	31%	31%	32%	40%	26%	36%	36%	35%	31%	40%	30%	33%
Not a threat to democracy	30%	27%	33%	26%	31%	34%	26%	42%	23%	31%	27%	25%	45%	22%	24%	41%	28%	28%	42%	32%	18%	46%	11%	42%	16%	32%
[VOL] DK/REF	4%	-	2%	4%	6%	5%	4%	4%	4%	5%	1%	1%	5%	5%	4%	3%	6%	2%	3%	5%	4%	3%	5%	4%	3%	2%
Number of respondents	584	62	130	198	162	285	293	305	273	406	53	66	213	189	117	123	216	128	150	233	201	278	225	198	173	170
Percent of total electorate	100%	12%	22%	33%	27%	45%	54%	39%	60%	70%	8%	12%	29%	41%	23%	20%	35%	22%	25%	40%	36%	45%	39%	32%	30%	29%

The Supreme Court
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Major threat to democracy	27%	38%	32%	21%	26%	25%	29%	29%	26%	23%	47%	37%	25%	21%	33%	24%	23%	31%	37%	25%	23%	45%	10%	48%	9%	23%
Minor threat to democracy	34%	32%	40%	38%	31%	35%	34%	38%	33%	37%	26%	26%	39%	36%	33%	31%	38%	33%	34%	30%	40%	36%	34%	32%	31%	40%
Not a threat to democracy	36%	30%	26%	37%	40%	38%	33%	32%	37%	38%	19%	35%	35%	39%	33%	44%	33%	34%	27%	44%	32%	18%	53%	18%	54%	36%
[VOL] DK/REF	3%	-	2%	5%	3%	2%	4%	1%	4%	3%	8%	2%	1%	4%	1%	2%	6%	2%	3%	2%	5%	1%	3%	2%	5%	1%
Number of respondents	584	62	130	198	162	285	293	305	273	406	53	66	213	189	117	123	216	128	150	233	201	278	225	198	173	170
Percent of total electorate	100%	12%	22%	33%	27%	45%	54%	39%	60%	70%	8%	12%	29%	41%	23%	20%	35%	22%	25%	40%	36%	45%	39%	32%	30%	29%

The Electoral College
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Major threat to democracy	27%	39%	30%	23%	24%	22%	32%	25%	29%	24%	59%	38%	22%	25%	26%	29%	26%	30%	38%	27%	20%	38%	13%	42%	15%	22%
Minor threat to democracy	35%	27%	40%	36%	36%	36%	34%	36%	35%	37%	23%	27%	38%	36%	37%	34%	34%	37%	30%	33%	41%	37%	33%	36%	30%	42%
Not a threat to democracy	34%	32%	27%	36%	35%	40%	29%	37%	32%	35%	18%	31%	37%	34%	36%	31%	35%	32%	30%	36%	34%	22%	50%	18%	50%	34%
[VOL] DK/REF	4%	2%	2%	5%	6%	3%	5%	3%	5%	5%	-	4%	3%	6%	1%	7%	5%	1%	3%	4%	5%	3%	5%	4%	6%	1%
Number of respondents	584	62	130	198	162	285	293	305	273	406	53	66	213	189	117	123	216	128	150	233	201	278	225	198	173	170
Percent of total electorate	100%	12%	22%	33%	27%	45%	54%	39%	60%	70%	8%	12%	29%	41%	23%	20%	35%	22%	25%	40%	36%	45%	39%	32%	30%	29%

The mainstream media
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Major threat to democracy	59%	58%	53%	66%	54%	59%	58%	47%	65%	57%	56%	66%	44%	66%	61%	51%	61%	59%	52%	58%	64%	33%	87%	38%	80%	53%
Minor threat to democracy	25%	34%	33%	16%	25%	24%	26%	30%	22%	25%	29%	22%	30%	23%	27%	24%	24%	25%	29%	25%	22%	36%	10%	32%	15%	30%
Not a threat to democracy	15%	8%	13%	15%	19%	15%	15%	22%	10%	15%	14%	10%	25%	9%	11%	24%	13%	13%	19%	15%	11%	29%	-	29%	3%	14%
[VOL] DK/REF	2%	-	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	-	2%	1%	3%	1%	1%	2%	2%	-	2%	3%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%
Number of respondents	584	62	130	198	162	285	293	305	273	406	53	66	213	189	117	123	216	128	150	233	201	278	225	198	173	170
Percent of total electorate	100%	12%	22%	33%	27%	45%	54%	39%	60%	70%	8%	12%	29%	41%	23%	20%	35%	22%	25%	40%	36%	45%	39%	32%	30%	29%

Electronic voting machines
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Major threat to democracy	20%	19%	17%	24%	19%	21%	20%	15%	24%	22%	9%	16%	13%	27%	28%	24%	16%	16%	13%	23%	23%	7%	37%	11%	32%	17%
Minor threat to democracy	29%	41%	29%	28%	26%	30%	29%	25%	31%	29%	33%	32%	26%	30%	29%	17%	32%	37%	31%	23%	35%	20%	38%	24%	37%	25%
Not a threat to democracy	46%	39%	51%	44%	48%	46%	47%	58%	40%	46%	58%	46%	59%	37%	35%	55%	49%	45%	54%	49%	39%	69%	22%	60%	29%	54%
[VOL] DK/REF	4%	1%	2%	4%	6%	3%	5%	2%	5%	4%	-	6%	2%	5%	8%	4%	3%	2%	3%	5%	4%	4%	3%	4%	2%	4%
Number of respondents	584	62	130	198	162	285	293	305	273	406	53	66	213	189	117	123	216	128	150	233	201	278	225	198	173	170
Percent of total electorate	100%	12%	22%	33%	27%	45%	54%	39%	60%	70%	8%	12%	29%	41%	23%	20%	35%	22%	25%	40%	36%	45%	39%	32%	30%	29%

Voting by mail
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Major threat to democracy	33%	20%	27%	43%	29%	31%	34%	24%	37%	33%	30%	24%	23%	39%	33%	35%	39%	20%	17%	37%	39%	9%	61%	12%	55%	31%
Minor threat to democracy	21%	39%	21%	18%	19%	21%	22%	17%	25%	19%	16%	38%	15%	23%	26%	11%	20%	30%	26%	13%	28%	13%	22%	15%	27%	20%
Not a threat to democracy	45%	40%	52%	38%	51%	48%	43%	59%	37%	47%	54%	37%	62%	37%	41%	54%	40%	51%	57%	49%	33%	78%	15%	72%	18%	48%
[VOL] DK/REF	1%	-	-	1%	1%	-	1%	<.5%	1%	1%	-	1%	<.5%	1%	-	-	2%	-	-	1%	1%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	1%
Number of respondents	584	62	130	198	162	285	293	305	273	406	53	66	213	189	117	123	216	128	150	233	201	278	225	198	173	170
Percent of total electorate	100%	12%	22%	33%	27%	45%	54%	39%	60%	70%	8%	12%	29%	41%	23%	20%	35%	22%	25%	40%	36%	45%	39%	32%	30%	29%

How much do you trust that the results of the 2022 midterm elections will be accurate?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
A great deal	35%	33%	42%	34%	34%	36%	35%	44%	30%	37%	32%	27%	46%	31%	36%	36%	35%	33%	42%	34%	31%	59%	13%	54%	16%	38%
A fair amount	34%	44%	29%	33%	34%	35%	34%	33%	35%	33%	25%	54%	35%	33%	32%	31%	33%	40%	32%	35%	34%	28%	41%	30%	41%	33%
Not too much	18%	16%	19%	19%	18%	15%	20%	14%	20%	18%	24%	11%	13%	21%	21%	20%	16%	16%	13%	20%	18%	8%	28%	9%	28%	17%
Not at all	10%	7%	10%	10%	9%	11%	9%	6%	12%	10%	13%	5%	4%	13%	10%	9%	11%	9%	10%	7%	13%	3%	14%	4%	13%	9%
[VOL] DK/REF	3%	<.5%	1%	3%	5%	4%	3%	3%	3%	2%	6%	3%	2%	2%	2%	4%	5%	2%	4%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	2%	3%
NET trust	69%	76%	70%	67%	68%	70%	69%	77%	65%	70%	57%	81%	80%	64%	68%	67%	69%	72%	74%	69%	65%	87%	54%	84%	57%	71%
NET distrust	28%	23%	29%	29%	27%	26%	28%	20%	32%	27%	37%	16%	18%	34%	31%	29%	27%	25%	23%	28%	31%	10%	42%	13%	41%	26%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

When it comes to elections in the United States, what concerns you more?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
That some people will cast votes illegally	46%	32%	42%	52%	53%	47%	45%	40%	49%	52%	28%	31%	43%	59%	45%	46%	47%	46%	29%	46%	57%	11%	83%	18%	82%	36%
That some eligible voters won’t have a fair chance to vote	48%	65%	52%	41%	41%	45%	51%	56%	44%	43%	64%	64%	55%	36%	47%	50%	47%	49%	65%	48%	36%	82%	14%	76%	15%	56%
[VOL] DK/REF	6%	3%	6%	7%	6%	8%	4%	4%	7%	5%	8%	5%	2%	6%	8%	4%	6%	5%	6%	5%	7%	7%	3%	5%	3%	8%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

Which candidate do you think was the legitimate winner of the 2020 presidential election?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Joe Biden	63%	77%	68%	56%	59%	64%	62%	73%	58%	60%	81%	76%	72%	51%	62%	71%	58%	66%	77%	65%	52%	98%	26%	95%	31%	66%
Donald Trump	29%	17%	23%	37%	32%	27%	30%	18%	35%	33%	13%	18%	19%	42%	29%	23%	32%	28%	18%	27%	38%	1%	66%	2%	62%	24%
[VOL] DK/REF	8%	6%	10%	7%	9%	8%	8%	9%	7%	8%	6%	6%	9%	6%	9%	6%	11%	6%	5%	9%	10%	1%	8%	3%	8%	11%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

Thinking about a candidate for political office who you agree with on most positions, how comfortable would you be voting for that candidate if they say they think the 2020 election was stolen?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Very comfortable	18%	7%	12%	24%	24%	16%	20%	16%	19%	21%	14%	7%	16%	24%	19%	12%	21%	18%	13%	16%	23%	4%	38%	4%	36%	15%
Somewhat comfortable	21%	22%	25%	24%	16%	25%	18%	20%	22%	25%	8%	13%	21%	27%	24%	25%	18%	19%	11%	22%	28%	5%	34%	8%	35%	22%
Not too comfortable	14%	33%	14%	10%	10%	16%	13%	12%	16%	12%	16%	25%	12%	12%	14%	10%	16%	17%	18%	11%	16%	13%	16%	13%	13%	18%
Not at all comfortable	40%	34%	46%	36%	42%	39%	42%	49%	35%	38%	57%	44%	49%	31%	35%	44%	39%	43%	50%	47%	25%	74%	7%	70%	10%	42%
[VOL] DK/REF	6%	4%	3%	6%	8%	5%	7%	3%	8%	4%	5%	10%	2%	6%	8%	9%	6%	3%	8%	4%	8%	4%	5%	5%	6%	3%
NET comfortable	39%	29%	37%	48%	40%	40%	38%	36%	41%	46%	23%	21%	37%	52%	43%	37%	39%	37%	24%	38%	51%	10%	72%	12%	71%	37%
NET not comfortable	55%	67%	60%	46%	52%	55%	55%	61%	51%	50%	72%	69%	61%	43%	49%	54%	55%	60%	68%	58%	41%	86%	23%	84%	23%	60%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

Thinking about a candidate for political office who you agree with on most positions, how comfortable would you be voting for that candidate if they say they think Joe Biden was the legitimate winner of the 2020 election?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Very comfortable	46%	39%	55%	44%	47%	48%	45%	60%	38%	46%	67%	42%	61%	36%	43%	52%	44%	46%	49%	51%	37%	83%	15%	79%	15%	45%
Somewhat comfortable	22%	34%	25%	20%	14%	22%	21%	19%	23%	20%	14%	31%	19%	21%	23%	25%	20%	20%	18%	24%	21%	12%	24%	13%	26%	25%
Not too comfortable	9%	18%	5%	10%	9%	9%	10%	6%	11%	8%	7%	13%	6%	10%	12%	5%	8%	12%	9%	7%	12%	1%	19%	1%	17%	11%
Not at all comfortable	18%	5%	11%	23%	25%	17%	19%	11%	22%	20%	10%	11%	10%	27%	19%	12%	21%	17%	16%	15%	23%	2%	37%	4%	37%	13%
[VOL] DK/REF	5%	5%	4%	3%	5%	4%	6%	3%	6%	5%	2%	3%	3%	5%	3%	5%	7%	6%	8%	3%	7%	2%	6%	2%	4%	6%
NET comfortable	68%	72%	80%	64%	61%	70%	66%	79%	61%	66%	81%	73%	80%	58%	66%	78%	64%	65%	68%	76%	58%	95%	38%	93%	41%	71%
NET not comfortable	27%	23%	16%	33%	34%	26%	28%	17%	33%	29%	18%	24%	17%	37%	31%	17%	29%	29%	24%	21%	35%	3%	56%	5%	55%	24%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

Do you personally find the QAnon [Q-ANON] theories or movement believable or not believable, or do you not know enough to say?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Believable	4%	4%	4%	5%	5%	4%	4%	4%	5%	3%	8%	5%	3%	3%	5%	4%	4%	4%	3%	4%	5%	4%	5%	4%	4%	4%
Not believable	37%	39%	44%	37%	31%	39%	34%	54%	27%	41%	29%	24%	58%	30%	36%	44%	33%	37%	45%	39%	27%	58%	17%	52%	18%	41%
Don't know enough to say	56%	56%	50%	56%	58%	53%	58%	41%	64%	52%	61%	65%	37%	62%	56%	50%	60%	54%	48%	54%	63%	36%	74%	42%	73%	53%
[VOL] DK/REF	4%	1%	1%	3%	6%	4%	3%	2%	4%	3%	2%	6%	1%	5%	4%	3%	3%	5%	5%	2%	4%	2%	4%	2%	5%	3%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

Have you ever heard of the movie “2000 Mules” [two-thousand mules]?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Heard a lot	9%	1%	10%	14%	8%	12%	7%	10%	9%	10%	3%	4%	11%	10%	16%	6%	8%	8%	6%	11%	10%	4%	17%	4%	14%	9%
Heard a little	17%	10%	15%	23%	17%	19%	14%	20%	15%	19%	14%	10%	22%	17%	16%	17%	16%	17%	19%	14%	18%	15%	22%	15%	18%	20%
Have not heard of this	72%	88%	75%	61%	74%	67%	76%	70%	74%	69%	80%	83%	67%	70%	66%	74%	74%	73%	73%	74%	70%	79%	59%	79%	66%	70%
[VOL] DK/REF	2%	1%	-	2%	1%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	3%	3%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	1%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

(Among those who have heard a lot or a little about “2000 Mules”) Do you personally think the findings in “2000 Mules” (two-thousand mules) are believable or not believable, or do you not know enough to say?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Believable	34%	10%	28%	38%	36%	38%	28%	28%	38%	37%	23%	14%	30%	42%	33%	33%	36%	33%	12%	42%	41%	3%	54%	1%	58%	28%
Not believable	20%	32%	32%	14%	16%	19%	21%	34%	9%	20%	12%	14%	38%	7%	21%	19%	20%	19%	25%	17%	19%	58%	2%	52%	2%	19%
Don't know enough to say	45%	57%	40%	46%	47%	42%	50%	37%	51%	43%	66%	71%	33%	51%	45%	43%	44%	49%	64%	39%	39%	39%	45%	46%	39%	50%
[VOL] DK/REF	1%	-	-	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	-	-	-	-	-	1%	4%	-	-	-	2%	1%	-	-	-	-	3%
Number of respondents	215	11	49	91	57	127	86	116	99	158	13	14	85	73	51	43	77	44	50	85	80	70	115	48	79	74
Percent of total electorate	100%	6%	22%	45%	24%	58%	41%	42%	58%	74%	6%	7%	32%	42%	27%	19%	33%	22%	25%	38%	38%	29%	56%	23%	38%	33%

What single news source do you turn to most often? This could include a social media site or a news site.
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
[VOL] Fox News	17%	7%	11%	21%	25%	18%	17%	13%	20%	20%	8%	12%	14%	24%	21%	10%	19%	17%	12%	16%	22%	2%	38%	1%	40%	12%
[VOL] CNN	9%	10%	8%	9%	8%	7%	11%	10%	8%	8%	12%	13%	7%	7%	6%	13%	9%	8%	8%	11%	7%	13%	2%	14%	5%	9%
[VOL] MSNBC	3%	-	1%	4%	6%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	7%	3%	2%	4%	7%	3%	2%	2%	3%	4%	3%	8%	<.5%	8%	1%	2%
[VOL] NPR	4%	2%	11%	4%	1%	5%	4%	7%	3%	5%	2%	4%	7%	4%	3%	4%	5%	5%	5%	6%	2%	9%	-	5%	<.5%	8%
[VOL] Talk radio	2%	-	2%	4%	1%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	6%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	3%	<.5%	4%	1%	3%	3%
[VOL] National television networks, like CBS, NBC or ABC	14%	14%	5%	14%	23%	12%	16%	13%	15%	15%	17%	15%	12%	17%	13%	16%	13%	13%	10%	12%	19%	18%	12%	19%	13%	11%
[VOL] Local television news	8%	3%	7%	7%	12%	6%	10%	6%	9%	9%	6%	9%	5%	11%	6%	8%	8%	10%	7%	9%	8%	8%	7%	8%	9%	8%
[VOL] National news organizations, like The New York Times The Wall Street Journal	6%	14%	8%	5%	3%	8%	4%	11%	3%	6%	7%	4%	12%	2%	4%	9%	6%	7%	8%	7%	4%	10%	2%	8%	2%	8%
[VOL] Local newspapers	2%	1%	2%	1%	4%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	-	3%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	2%	3%	2%	3%	3%	1%
[VOL] Social media	14%	27%	23%	10%	3%	16%	11%	16%	13%	10%	17%	26%	15%	7%	13%	16%	13%	14%	19%	14%	10%	12%	11%	15%	10%	15%
[VOL] Friends and family	1%	2%	1%	<.5%	2%	1%	1%	<.5%	2%	1%	-	-	<.5%	2%	2%	1%	<.5%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	<.5%	1%	3%
[VOL] BBC	1%	1%	1%	-	1%	1%	1%	1%	<.5%	1%	1%	-	1%	-	-	1%	1%	1%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	1%	-	1%
[VOL] International source	1%	-	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	-	2%	1%	1%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	1%	1%	1%	<.5%	1%	1%	<.5%	1%
[VOL] Aggregation site (ex. Yahoo News)	2%	5%	3%	1%	<.5%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	1%	3%	1%	4%	<.5%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	3%
[VOL] Right-wing site	2%	3%	3%	2%	<.5%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	-	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	3%	1%	<.5%	3%	-	3%	2%
[VOL] Doesn't consume news	2%	3%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	3%	-	<.5%	2%	-	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	1%	1%	3%	-	2%	3%
[VOL] Other (specify)	8%	4%	8%	11%	5%	8%	7%	6%	9%	7%	5%	7%	6%	7%	10%	6%	9%	4%	10%	5%	8%	8%	6%	9%	4%	6%
[VOL] Refused	4%	4%	4%	5%	3%	4%	4%	5%	4%	5%	5%	1%	5%	4%	4%	5%	5%	3%	4%	3%	6%	3%	4%	3%	2%	6%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

Do you consider yourself Catholic, Protestant, Mormon, Jewish, Muslim, some other religion, or do you have no religious affiliation?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Catholic	19%	19%	13%	22%	22%	21%	18%	17%	21%	18%	8%	41%	19%	18%	19%	34%	12%	17%	20%	21%	17%	19%	21%	22%	24%	13%
Protestant (Christian)	32%	19%	24%	33%	47%	30%	33%	31%	33%	35%	39%	19%	32%	38%	38%	24%	38%	23%	28%	32%	34%	24%	44%	24%	45%	29%
Mormon (LDS)	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	-	<.5%	6%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%
Jewish	2%	5%	3%	1%	2%	3%	1%	4%	1%	2%	5%	1%	5%	-	-	4%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	3%	1%	4%	1%	1%
Muslim	<.5%	-	1%	1%	-	1%	<.5%	1%	-	-	2%	-	-	-	<.5%	<.5%	1%	-	<.5%	1%	-	1%	-	1%	-	<.5%
[VOL] CHRISTIAN (includes Baptist, Lutheran, Episcopalian, Methodist, Adventist, Presbyterian)	6%	7%	3%	7%	8%	3%	9%	3%	8%	5%	12%	6%	2%	7%	6%	2%	8%	6%	3%	4%	11%	5%	8%	5%	8%	5%
Some other religion (specify)	9%	8%	13%	9%	4%	8%	9%	7%	10%	7%	11%	4%	5%	8%	9%	4%	8%	14%	8%	8%	9%	7%	9%	6%	8%	8%
No religious affiliation	27%	40%	38%	24%	13%	30%	24%	32%	24%	28%	19%	24%	32%	25%	24%	27%	26%	32%	32%	28%	24%	38%	14%	34%	9%	39%
[VOL] DK/REF	3%	2%	2%	2%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	1%	2%	3%	4%	4%	4%	<.5%	4%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

(If Protestant, Christian, Mormon, Greek/Russian Orthodox or some other religion) Do you consider yourself an evangelical or born-again Christian?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Yes	55%	42%	49%	63%	53%	53%	56%	48%	58%	59%	48%	55%	53%	61%	56%	59%	61%	40%	48%	55%	58%	40%	67%	47%	66%	43%
No	41%	56%	50%	31%	40%	43%	39%	49%	37%	38%	42%	42%	44%	34%	44%	41%	32%	53%	44%	43%	37%	51%	30%	44%	31%	54%
[VOL] Refused	4%	2%	1%	5%	7%	4%	5%	3%	5%	4%	10%	2%	3%	4%	-	-	7%	7%	8%	2%	5%	9%	2%	10%	3%	2%
Number of respondents	379	39	80	131	114	176	202	170	209	250	51	31	107	143	83	52	162	82	92	136	151	131	178	98	145	106
Percent of total electorate	100%	11%	21%	34%	30%	43%	57%	32%	68%	67%	12%	9%	22%	45%	24%	13%	40%	23%	22%	38%	40%	31%	48%	24%	39%	28%

Are you of Hispanic origin or descent, such as Mexican, Dominican, Puerto Rican, Cuban, or some other Spanish background?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Yes	13%	28%	13%	9%	6%	12%	14%	8%	16%	-	-	100%	-	-	6%	10%	12%	23%	21%	12%	8%	14%	8%	17%	8%	14%
No	85%	71%	85%	89%	93%	86%	84%	90%	82%	99%	92%	-	100%	100%	92%	87%	84%	75%	77%	85%	89%	84%	91%	79%	91%	85%
[VOL] Refused	3%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	8%	-	<.5%	<.5%	1%	3%	3%	2%	1%	3%	3%	2%	1%	4%	1%	1%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

Would you consider yourself:
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
White	71%	67%	65%	71%	82%	69%	73%	74%	69%	98%	-	51%	99%	97%	77%	72%	69%	66%	66%	67%	78%	67%	84%	63%	85%	68%
Black or African American	10%	8%	12%	10%	9%	11%	9%	9%	10%	-	98%	6%	-	-	5%	9%	17%	5%	16%	9%	7%	16%	2%	18%	3%	10%
Asian or Asian American	3%	8%	6%	1%	-	5%	1%	4%	3%	-	-	-	-	-	2%	2%	2%	7%	1%	7%	<.5%	3%	1%	4%	2%	2%
Native American	1%	-	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	-	2%	2%	-	-	3%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%
Some other race (specify)	4%	6%	5%	4%	2%	6%	3%	3%	5%	2%	-	18%	1%	2%	5%	5%	2%	6%	7%	4%	3%	4%	2%	5%	4%	3%
More than one race	7%	7%	9%	7%	4%	5%	8%	7%	7%	-	-	17%	-	-	4%	5%	6%	12%	8%	7%	5%	6%	6%	6%	3%	11%
[VOL] Refused	4%	5%	2%	5%	2%	4%	4%	3%	5%	<.5%	-	6%	-	<.5%	4%	6%	4%	3%	2%	6%	4%	3%	4%	3%	2%	6%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

What is the highest educational level which you have completed:
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Grade school	3%	-	2%	4%	6%	3%	4%	-	5%	4%	9%	1%	-	6%	2%	1%	5%	5%	2%	1%	6%	1%	5%	3%	7%	2%
High school	27%	36%	17%	26%	34%	24%	30%	-	44%	27%	19%	39%	-	46%	30%	26%	25%	30%	24%	23%	35%	24%	26%	27%	31%	25%
Vocational or trade school	6%	5%	6%	8%	3%	7%	5%	-	9%	5%	-	13%	-	8%	10%	3%	6%	5%	5%	7%	5%	3%	8%	2%	7%	8%
Some college, no degree	17%	18%	17%	17%	14%	17%	16%	-	27%	14%	24%	19%	-	23%	19%	12%	16%	19%	19%	15%	17%	17%	19%	16%	16%	15%
Associate’s degree	10%	9%	8%	11%	11%	9%	10%	-	15%	10%	14%	4%	-	16%	8%	10%	11%	8%	10%	11%	8%	8%	10%	7%	9%	12%
Bachelor’s degree	22%	28%	29%	21%	16%	23%	21%	61%	-	25%	14%	15%	64%	-	22%	22%	24%	19%	26%	23%	18%	27%	21%	26%	20%	21%
Graduate or professional degree	14%	5%	21%	14%	14%	16%	12%	39%	-	14%	17%	8%	36%	-	8%	24%	12%	13%	13%	18%	10%	19%	10%	18%	9%	17%
[VOL] Refused	1%	-	-	-	1%	1%	1%	-	-	1%	3%	1%	-	-	-	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	-
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or a member of another party?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Democrat	31%	30%	29%	26%	38%	27%	36%	38%	27%	26%	60%	42%	35%	20%	29%	40%	30%	27%	36%	31%	27%	64%	2%	100%	-	-
Republican	30%	20%	25%	38%	36%	30%	31%	25%	34%	38%	9%	18%	30%	44%	32%	23%	36%	26%	21%	29%	39%	2%	66%	-	100%	-
Independent	29%	37%	36%	27%	22%	33%	26%	30%	29%	28%	28%	31%	30%	28%	25%	28%	28%	37%	31%	31%	26%	28%	25%	-	-	100%
Another party	3%	6%	4%	4%	1%	5%	2%	3%	3%	4%	1%	1%	3%	5%	8%	2%	2%	1%	5%	3%	2%	2%	2%	-	-	-
[VOL] DK/REF	6%	7%	7%	4%	3%	6%	5%	4%	7%	3%	3%	8%	2%	3%	6%	6%	5%	8%	6%	6%	6%	3%	5%	-	-	-
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

(If not a Democrat or a Republican) And as of today, do you lean more to:
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
The Democratic Party	38%	47%	43%	33%	40%	38%	41%	44%	35%	44%	57%	37%	54%	38%	37%	40%	42%	33%	49%	42%	23%	75%	1%	-	-	43%
The Republican Party	39%	35%	30%	46%	52%	43%	36%	34%	42%	43%	18%	30%	39%	46%	44%	38%	33%	42%	26%	37%	53%	9%	94%	-	-	41%
[VOL] DK/REF	23%	18%	27%	20%	8%	19%	23%	22%	23%	13%	25%	33%	7%	15%	19%	22%	25%	25%	25%	21%	24%	16%	5%	-	-	16%
Number of respondents	300	45	82	97	56	174	117	145	151	183	26	38	91	89	63	55	107	75	84	123	93	114	95			233
Percent of total electorate	100%	19%	27%	29%	17%	54%	43%	35%	64%	61%	7%	13%	23%	36%	22%	19%	32%	27%	28%	42%	30%	35%	31%			76%

Do you consider yourself politically liberal, moderate, or conservative?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Very liberal	13%	18%	19%	9%	7%	11%	14%	17%	10%	12%	12%	14%	17%	9%	16%	13%	9%	15%	16%	14%	9%	25%	2%	29%	2%	8%
Somewhat liberal	12%	17%	15%	11%	8%	11%	13%	15%	10%	11%	20%	19%	15%	8%	11%	16%	11%	10%	10%	15%	10%	22%	1%	23%	3%	12%
Moderate	32%	27%	31%	33%	36%	34%	29%	36%	30%	31%	27%	29%	35%	29%	29%	31%	32%	37%	36%	30%	32%	38%	24%	31%	24%	41%
Somewhat conservative	18%	18%	18%	18%	22%	20%	17%	14%	21%	19%	20%	17%	15%	22%	23%	15%	18%	17%	16%	17%	21%	9%	31%	5%	30%	21%
Very conservative	17%	12%	10%	26%	19%	18%	17%	13%	19%	20%	9%	14%	15%	22%	13%	12%	23%	15%	11%	17%	21%	2%	38%	5%	38%	10%
[VOL] DK/REF	8%	8%	8%	4%	8%	6%	9%	5%	10%	7%	11%	7%	3%	9%	8%	13%	7%	7%	12%	7%	7%	5%	5%	7%	4%	8%
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

Did you vote in the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden?
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Yes	88%	69%	86%	92%	97%	86%	90%	94%	84%	91%	85%	77%	96%	88%	86%	87%	89%	87%	85%	87%	90%	100%	100%	91%	89%	87%
No	12%	31%	14%	8%	3%	14%	10%	6%	16%	9%	15%	23%	4%	12%	14%	12%	10%	12%	14%	13%	10%	-	-	9%	11%	13%
[VOL] Refused	<.5%	-	-	<.5%	-	<.5%	<.5%	-	<.5%	<.5%	-	1%	-	-	-	1%	<.5%	1%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	-	-	<.5%	-	-
Number of respondents	792	102	181	261	202	406	376	394	390	518	77	99	262	251	152	171	292	177	205	319	268	346	299	254	238	233
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	23%	32%	24%	48%	51%	36%	63%	65%	9%	13%	26%	39%	21%	21%	35%	23%	25%	40%	35%	41%	37%	31%	30%	29%

(If voted in 2020) Did you vote for:
	Registered Voters	Age				Gender		Education		Race/Ethnicity			Race and Education		Region				Community			2020 Vote		Party I.D.
	Registered Voters	18 to 29	30 to 44	45 to 64	65+	Male	Female	B.A.+	No B.A.	White	Black	Hispanic	White, college	White, no college	MW	NE	S	W	City	Suburb	Rural	Biden	Trump	D	R	I
Donald Trump	43%	33%	35%	51%	45%	45%	41%	33%	49%	50%	8%	29%	40%	58%	44%	35%	48%	39%	29%	40%	55%	-	100%	3%	90%	37%
Joe Biden	46%	54%	51%	38%	49%	44%	49%	55%	41%	41%	82%	59%	53%	32%	43%	52%	44%	49%	57%	50%	35%	100%	-	92%	3%	45%
[VOL] Jo Jorgensen	1%	2%	2%	2%	-	2%	<.5%	1%	1%	1%	-	1%	<.5%	2%	3%	1%	1%	<.5%	1%	1%	2%	-	-	-	-	3%
[VOL] DK/REF	10%	10%	12%	9%	6%	8%	10%	10%	10%	8%	10%	12%	7%	8%	10%	13%	7%	12%	13%	10%	8%	-	-	5%	6%	16%
Number of respondents	729	84	167	242	198	368	354	376	347	488	69	86	253	231	138	157	273	161	187	292	250	346	299	242	223	212
Percent of total electorate	100%	12%	23%	33%	27%	47%	52%	39%	60%	68%	9%	11%	28%	39%	21%	21%	36%	22%	24%	40%	36%	46%	43%	32%	31%	29%

Party I.D. is self-identified party, without leaners; independents only include self-identified independents.

Methodology

The New York Times/Siena College poll of 792 registered voters nationwide was conducted in English and Spanish on cellular and landline telephones from Oct. 9 to 12, 2022. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.0 percentage points for registered voters and +/- 4.1 percentage points for the likely electorate.

Sample

The survey is a response-rate-adjusted stratified sample of registered voters on the L2 voter file. The sample was selected by The New York Times in multiple steps to account for differential telephone coverage, nonresponse and significant variation in the productivity of telephone numbers by state.

First, records were selected by state. To adjust for noncoverage bias, the L2 voter file was stratified by statehouse district, party, race, gender, marital status, household size, turnout history, age and homeownership. The proportion of registrants with a telephone number and the mean expected response rate were calculated for each strata. The mean expected response rate was based on a model of unit nonresponse in prior Times/Siena surveys. The initial selection weight was equal to the reciprocal of a strata’s mean telephone coverage and modeled response rate. For respondents with multiple telephone numbers on the L2 file, the number with the highest modeled response rate was selected.

Second, state records were selected for the national sample. The number of records selected by state was based on a model of unit nonresponse in prior Times/Siena national surveys as a function of state (as a random effect), telephone number quality, age, race, turnout and metropolitan status. The state’s share of records was equal to the reciprocal of the mean response rate of the state’s records divided by the national sum of the weights.

Fielding

The sample was stratified by party, race and region and fielded by the Siena College Research Institute, with additional field work by ReconMR, IPOR at the University of Roanoke, and the PORL at the University of North Florida. Interviewers asked for the person named on the voter file and ended the interview if the intended respondent was not available. Overall, 75 percent of respondents were reached on a cellular telephone.

The instrument was translated into Spanish by ReconMR. Bilingual interviewers began the interview in English and were instructed to follow the lead of the respondent in determining whether to conduct the survey in English or Spanish. Monolingual Spanish-speaking respondents initially contacted by English-speakers were recontacted by Spanish-speaking interviewers. Overall, 6 percent of interviews among self-reported Hispanics were conducted in Spanish.

Weighting

The survey was weighted by The Times using the R survey package. The registered and likely voter weights were calculated separately to account for the differences between registered voters and the likely electorate and to incorporate both modeled vote history data and respondent’s self-reported intention to vote. Survey weights were trimmed at the 99th percentile.

First, the sample was adjusted for unequal probability of selection by strata. For the likely electorate, the first-stage weight also incorporated the respondent’s modeled intention to vote, based on voter file data.

Second, the sample was weighted to match voter-file-based parameters for the characteristics of registered voters. The sample was also weighted to match census-based estimates for the educational attainment of registered voters and the likely electorate.

Third, the sample was weighted to match the characteristics of the likely electorate. The estimates for the characteristics of the likely electorate were based on multiple models. First, a model estimated the likely turnout by state, based on recent turnout and the competitiveness of the midterm race. Second, an individual-level model of turnout in 2010, 2018 and 2021 was used to estimate the probability that registrants would participate in the midterm election as a function of their demographic and political characteristics. Finally, the individual-level estimates were adjusted to match the expected turnout by state.

Fourth, self-reported vote intention was incorporated into the estimate of a respondent’s likelihood to vote. That was based on a model of validated turnout in Times/Siena surveys since 2016 as a function of self-reported vote intention and the pre-survey modeled turnout probability, including an adjustment for the higher turnout of survey respondents than nonrespondents.

Finally, the final weight for the likely electorate was equal to the initial likely electorate weight, multiplied by the final turnout probability incorporating self-reported vote intention divided by the initial modeled turnout probability.

Parameters

The following voter-file-based targets were used to weight the sample to match the characteristics of registered voters and the likely electorate:

• Party (NYT classifications based on L2 data and, in states without party registration or primary vote history, a model of partisanship based on previous Times/Siena polls)

• Age (self-reported age or voter file age if the respondent refuses)

• Gender (self-reported gender or voter file gender if the respondent refuses)

• Marital status (L2 model)

• Homeownership (L2 model)

• Metropolitan area (2013 National Center for Health Statistics Urban-Rural Classification Scheme for Counties)

• Region (Census Bureau definition, except Maryland, Delaware and Washington, D.C., reclassified as Northeast)

• Turnout history (NYT classifications based on L2 data)

• Vote method in the 2020 elections (NYT classifications based on L2 data)

The following census-based targets were used to weight the sample to match the characteristics of registered voters and the likely electorate:

• Educational attainment (NYT model based on A.C.S. and C.P.S. data)

The margin of error accounts for the survey’s design effect, a measure of the loss of statistical power due to survey design and weighting. The design effect is 1.31 for registered voters and 1.38 for the likely electorate.