Astral Codex Ten | Scott Alexander | Substack

Profile: The Far Out Initiative

7 hrs ago

Mantic Monday 5/13/24

Manifold pivot || Lab leak hindcasting || CFTC extra-double-bans prediction markets

May 13

Open Thread 329

May 13

Highlights From The Comments On Hanson And Health Care

May 10

The Emotional Support Animal Racket

May 9

Asterisk/Zvi on California's AI Bill

May 8

Highlights From The Comments On "The Origin Of Woke"

May 7

Open Thread 328

May 6

Astral Codex Ten

Astral Codex Ten

P(A|B) = [P(A)*P(B|A)]/P(B), all the rest is commentary.

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