Astral Codex Ten | Scott Alexander | Substack

Mantic Monday 5/13/24

Manifold pivot || Lab leak hindcasting || CFTC extra-double-bans prediction markets

10 mins ago

Open Thread 329

8 hrs ago

Highlights From The Comments On Hanson And Health Care

May 10

The Emotional Support Animal Racket

May 9

Asterisk/Zvi on California's AI Bill

May 8

Highlights From The Comments On "The Origin Of Woke"

May 7

Open Thread 328

May 6

Book Review: The Origins Of Woke

May 1

Astral Codex Ten

Astral Codex Ten

P(A|B) = [P(A)*P(B|A)]/P(B), all the rest is commentary.

Recommendations

The Intrinsic Perspective

Erik Hoel

The Genetic Choice Project

Craig Willy

David Hugh-Jones

Manifold Markets

Maxim Lott

Community

Blogroll

Marginal Revolution

Effective Altruism Forum

Astral Codex Ten

About Archive Recommendations Sitemap

#nojs-banner { position: fixed; bottom: 0; left: 0; padding: 16px 16px 16px 32px; width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; background: red; color: white; font-family: -apple-system, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 13px; line-height: 13px; } #nojs-banner a { color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; } This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please turn on JavaScript or unblock scripts