Astral Codex Ten | Scott Alexander | Substack

Profile: The Far Out Initiative

15 hrs ago

Mantic Monday 5/13/24

Manifold pivot || Lab leak hindcasting || CFTC extra-double-bans prediction markets

May 13

Open Thread 329

May 13

Highlights From The Comments On Hanson And Health Care

May 10

The Emotional Support Animal Racket

May 9

Asterisk/Zvi on California's AI Bill

May 8

Highlights From The Comments On "The Origin Of Woke"

May 7

Open Thread 328

May 6

Astral Codex Ten

Astral Codex Ten

P(A|B) = [P(A)*P(B|A)]/P(B), all the rest is commentary.

Recommendations

Yaw's Newsletter

Yaw

Silver Bulletin

Nate Silver

Numb at the Lodge

Sam Kriss

Nils Wendel

The Intrinsic Perspective

Erik Hoel

Community

Blogroll

Marginal Revolution

Effective Altruism Forum

Astral Codex Ten

About Archive Recommendations Sitemap

#nojs-banner { position: fixed; bottom: 0; left: 0; padding: 16px 16px 16px 32px; width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; background: red; color: white; font-family: -apple-system, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 13px; line-height: 13px; } #nojs-banner a { color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; } This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please turn on JavaScript or unblock scripts