Top 25 NFL Articles on Substack

Latest NFL Articles


Monday NFL - Cowboys vs Bengals || Porter Picks💪

NFL MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL SELECTION
Horrific football weekend overall as this was our FIRST LOSING football weekend in both College & Pro since early September. Will look to turn that around quickly, hopefully with a victory tonight! Last year we CASHED over 67% in BOWL SEASON including a big wager on Michigan in the National Championship and I expect us to dominate this year once again! …


"A Rah-Rah Game" (1972)

The NFL vs. college football vs. Bill Belichick.
This is Throwbacks, a newsletter by me, Michael Weinreb, about sports, history, culture and politics, and everything in-between.
Michael Weinreb ∙ 11 LIKES
Arnold Tilden
I caught an interview with Belichick and what stuck me was his observation that today university and pro coaching are not much different. No longer do university coaches need to meet with parents and prospects in their living rooms. If prospects are looking for a NFL stepping stone, Belichick has quite the case to pitch. Incidentally, attractive prospects are looking for that stepping stone.


All Access Football Report: Week 15

All Access Football dissects the College Football Playoffs, Heisman Trophy Race and NFL Draft Watch. Plus, NFL Power Rankings and the latest buzz from the world of football.
Volume XXIV Edition LXXXI || All Access Football Report: Week 15
Ric Serritella



DadBodFootball Week 15 NFL Picks Against The Spread, Totals, and Implied Totals

Spreads, Totals, Implied Totals, and TNF Revisited to Inform Your Betting Habits
The holidays represent arguably the busiest time of year for many of us - the end of the quarter/fiscal year, family time together, increased pressure to perform egregious acts of affluenza… As such, I’ll be keeping the posts brief the rest of the year. Why? This is so I can maximize your time to understanding the data model and visualizations in DBF an…
V T


Let’s Football

my first ever Stadium Live 🏟️
Last Friday, on 6th December 2024, I had the chance to watch my first-ever live football match in a stadium. This Indian Super League (ISL) match was played between Punjab FC and Mohammedan SC at the Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (JLN). The tickets were free—apparently, Punjab FC wanted to build a stronger home crowd presence, so they made tickets available …
Saumya Sharma ∙ 8 LIKES
Writer Pilgrim by So Elite
It's truly amazing watching sport live of any sort. I'm glad you enjoyed it despite the little tricks and situation with your dad. Sounds like he was proud you went, after all. Love the moon picture!
John Bluff
Thank you for the shout-out! It thrills me you enjoyed my post!!!


Cultured Football #190

Djurgarden on the Road. Chelsea Got Good. Captain Odegaard. Period Poverty. Fiorentina's Mighty Rejects
Djurgår’n: An Occasion
Paul Grech ∙ 15 LIKES
Chirag Sharatkumar
Thanks for featuring the Odegaard piece, Paul! Glad you enjoyed it.

Jones Week without football

The necessary choke between
I need to document my feelings about this new phenominon we are undergoing in college football. First of all, I dub this week Jones Week after the habit of being hooked on something and then can’t have it for one reason or another.
Gary A Schlueter

Cultured Football #191

Shaktar Blast FIFA. Transfer Gurus. AS Monaco Build Again. Sacked in the Morning. Chelsea's Ultra Young Team.
Shakhtar boss: 'FIFA has stolen our players and not brought anything good to Ukrainian football'
Paul Grech ∙ 3 LIKES


UNC Football Has Untapped Potential. Can Bill Belichick Help Them Achieve It?

With the GOAT NFL coach reportedly taking over the Tar Heels, he would inherit a football program that probably has room to grow.
The news seemed to come out of left field a few weeks ago. Bill Belichick, by most accounts the greatest coach in pro football history — and surely a hot name for the rapidly expanding list o…
Neil Paine ∙ 16 LIKES
Grant Marn
This has struck me as viable since I first heard the rumor. Older persons can make radical career changes late in life from what their lifetime success has been built upon. This is particularly true where it involve the opportunity to influence young people or some other more noble cause. For Bill, it’s likely now about being happy and less about hardware.
You see this in business, art, music, and everywhere else... why not in football? Our society - particularly sports - is just too focused on money and ego as the ultimate end games when it is not for many people who see the opportunity to make a real difference with others as fun and fulfilling.
Second, the NFL is not fun anymore. Look at the lifespan of head coaches, injuries, holdouts every year before camp, GMs trying to wield power and take credit for success while blaming the coach for every failure, mercurial owners, and the rise of podcast and social media distractions. My goodness, just look at Kyle Shanahan's physical appearance lately. NFL head coaching is no cushy gig.
There's also too much focus on the portal as an obstacle. The person who disrupted this thinking if anyone cared to pay attention was Deion Sanders. Remember how many people questioned Deion when he went to the losing Colorado program? Remember the hysterics over his portal exit numbers upon arrival?
He immediately demonstrated that you can recruit and win quickly on personality, brand, and NIL regardless of how many athletes leave through the portal. In fact, he has succeeded in part because he has encouraged exits through the portal and viewed those transfers as a net positive for his program. How is Carolina not a better jump?
Belichick, like Sanders, will be able to recruit on his name provided the NIL money is reasonably sufficient. Parents know what he stands for as a coach, and his recent media gigs have made him only more desirable as a coach and landing spot for recruits. He is a terrific teacher with deep NFL connections if your kid aspires to be at the next level. The ACC, like the AFC East for so many years, is not overly competitive. That should enable him to make a splash quickly.
I like this move a lot, both for him and UNC.


Reasonable Rankings for College Football

I've had enough of the subjective rankings in college football. So I'm proposing something better, using math (of course).
I don’t really watch American football anymore. Something about endorsing the injuries through my viewership really bugs me. But every year, I’m still fascinated by mathematics behind college football programs are (or could be) ranked. It’s an annual tradition to ask variations of the same old question: How do you compare a superior record (e.g., 11–1) …
Zach Wissner-Gross ∙ 7 LIKES
Jason
While I don't contest that home field advantage is real, it sounds like you're looking at results of all games assuming that won't have an inherit bias. This misses the fact that Alabama will never play a road game against a Western Kentucky - those will always be paid home games, and that game was won by 63 points by the home team. Margin of victory in conference games would likely be a much less biased measure, as those should alternate between home and road for any given matchup.
Michael
1. Could you incorporate both home advantage and a win being a win by just weighting away wins more somehow (but a win is always still positive for you - and a loss negative)? Perhaps just have 2 lambdas, one for home team wins, one for away team wins.
2. I’m curious what lambda minimises the error function of the linear regression? I wonder how the rankings would “feel” with this lambda.




Week 14 Answers to NFL Jeopardy

Facts you won't know or remember without reading this list
Direct from the NFL’s official New York stats and facts geekdom, here are barstool-worthy highlights from the weekend No. 14 games played before the Sunday night battle between the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers.
Frank Cooney

College Football 2025 NFL Draft Stock Up Conference Championships: Drew Allar, Tez Johnson, Andrew Mukuba & Cam Skattebo

Check out the top 2025 NFL Draft prospects from the conference championship games
Fans can debate the merits of conference championship games as we prepare for the College Football Playoff, but these matchups hold significant meaning for 2025 NFL Draft prospects. Showcases against elite competition carry more weight in the evaluation process.
Sam Teets

Art But Make It College Football

A collaboration between the SZD audience and ArtButMakeItSports.
There is nobody in sports media like LJ Rader, aka ArtButMakeItSports. You have probably seen him on Instagram or Twitter or Bluesky. LJ also has a Substack newsletter, where he expands a little bit on his craft of matching sports images and screengrabs with pieces of art.
Alex Kirshner and ArtButMakeItSports ∙ 24 LIKES
David Peterson
It would be funny if the Vols somehow turned Columbus into Picasso's Guernica.

College Football Bowl Betting (Part 1)

Best bets for Bowl games December 14-20
Matt Russell is the creator of THE WINDOW, and former lead betting analyst at theScore. If there’s a bad beat to be had, Matt will find it. You can find him @mrussauthentic on X.
THE WINDOW w/ Matt Russell ∙ 3 LIKES