
The Four-Year Cycle Bitcoin Playbook May No Longer Apply
With 95% of supply already mined, Bitcoin’s price is now driven more by global liquidity and institutional flows than halving cycles.
There’s a version of Bitcoin analysis that’s fairly simple: wait for the halving, expect a bull market for the following year or so, expect a bear market for roughly a year after that, repeat. It’s a framework that made sense for most of Bitcoin’s history. I’m not sure it does anymore, and this week I want to explain why, and what I think we should be l…



























































