The US plays “make believe” with electrifying its military.

Appraising the impact of the latest slate of “clean energy” bills.

A concise daily companion newsletter for SPX/ES Traders offering a chart, accurate daily levels, actionable trade plan, and insight into the art and science of trading from the perspective of a professional trader.

Introduction

Daily Plan 12.8.23

Never mind the Rich Men North of Richmond, here's who ultimately pays...

Friday, December 8th, 2023 Laramie, Wyoming by Dan Denning We’re going to look at another ‘pre incident indicator’ in the market this week. You can spin all the narratives you want. But sometimes lookin…

Silver Point, PIMCO, Platinum Equity & Carlyle screw over other lenders.

Express Inc. ($EXPR) is another struggling retailer; SMI files prepacked chapter 11.

S&P 500 4193.80 :: 10-Year UST Yield 4.88% :: October 31, 2023

S&P 500 4567.80 :: 10-Year UST Yield 4.35% :: November 30, 2023

The Brain Damaging World of Foreign Exchange

A Short Update on a Crazy Week

Today, the Compounding Quality Portfolio will launch. This means we’ll buy our first stock. Let’s walk this beautiful investment journey together and build a great portfolio.

This series will teach you how to analyze stocks like a Professional.Last week, you learned how to gather information for your investment case. We compiled a document of more than 30 pages full of interesting facts about Mastercard. This document will form the base for our investment case. Now it’s time to go over the 15-step approach to analyze a stock.

The Rapid Collapse of the 16th Largest Bank in America

How PayPal, Amazon and Shopify are Changing the Checkout

Volume 50

Volume 80 - Christmas isn't this early

The value over growth outperformance is set to accelerate from here

The 'tourist takes another shot at this trade, but this time he has the Fed and seasonality on his side

I frame every RTH Plan with the mindset to let the market tell me who’s in control. I do this by defining the auction and allowing orderflow to clue in the direction. I often narrate my thoughts directly — As well as colour coordinate my charts to view.

Pivot : 16035 Longs to : xxx Shorts to : 15830 / 15730 / 15500 Minor Pivots : 15950*

I'm expecting one of the largest mainstream media pivots in history in 2022, catalyzed by capitalism and common sense.

The UAE just stopped transacting oil in U.S. dollars. BRICS now controls most of the world's nuclear arsenals, oil and precious metals & rare earth minerals. It's time to wake up.

Goldman exec throws a party and SEC stokes anxiety among ESG activists

Also, regional banks call FDIC out for abandoning 'tailoring' in revamp of resolution plans

Where Are We Now?

Global Liquidity levels are rising

Summer illiquidity is nearing an end, is a further storm brewing?

Hello all, The indices have remained in a tight range and after looking like the indices were ready to break the range lower, the indices preceded to gap up thus keeping the range intact in which we have remained range bound for two weeks now. I titled this letter “unwind” as we saw some action in the Yen today. I did a write-up essentially explaining the…

Bad things lead to more bad things. But (some) bad things can be fixed.

The latest estimates of domestic income and domestic product are alarmingly inconsistent. The gap is mostly attributable to the bizarre (alleged) decline in net interest paid by businesses.

The TSOH Investment Research Service launched on April 5th, 2021, and with it came a mixture of excitement and uncertainty. Prior to the launch, I had been sharing my work publicly online for about ten years - but this marked a meaningful next step in my relationship with readers. I was asking for a more significant commitment of their time and money, which I did not (and do not) take lightly. In a few months, TSOH will celebrate its second anniversary.

From “Focus First On Scale” (published in September 2022): “Roku caught a massive wave over the past decade, and smartly used that opportunity... The key question, in my opinion, is how to translate their current position into a defensible and profitable business over the long run… Despite impressive growth over the past five years, I think Roku holds a pretty difficult hand… As we get further clarity on Roku’s evolving relationship with leading content suppliers… it will provide an opportunity to test / update my conclusions.”

MSFT (+4%) - Let’s just focus on what’s important: Azure…MSFT nice acceleration in Azure to 28% as we called out in our preview vs bogey of 26% and guide to 26-27% cc. So Q4 they guided 25-26% came in at 28% on a 4 pt easier comp. Q1 is an 8 pt easier comp,

Good afternoon. QQQs finished up 40bps post a stronger NFP print. ARKK outperformed up 1.9% as did semis up 90bps. Crude was up 2.6% and BTC continued to rally up another 2%. Rally was led by highly shorted stocks which were up close to 4% on the day even though yields rose 8-12bps across the curve (2 year rose more than the 10 year).

Il vous reste 8 jours.

🕰️ 9 ACTUS / 2 MINUTES

And Here We Go!

A Couple Index Swing Ideas at the Bottom

This is a prediction article, so there needs to be a disclaimer attached to this. With that said, here are some of the predictions I will make for the rest of the year. I will spend some time going through these assumptions, and hopefully, we are at least directionally correct for you to profit.

Note: Dollar references are to Canadian dollars unless otherwise specified. Greenfire Resources (GFR) is the newest entrant to the public Canadian oil patch. The company was formerly a special-purpose acquisition vehicle called M3-Brigade Acquisition III Corp. that purchased privately held Greenfire Resources in a transaction that closed on September 20, 2023.

Cosmopoiesis – The world we wish for is what we will get. Tech is delivering. Our psyche is not. Read why love, beauty, joy and magic are essential to a well-functioning economy.

A narrative race is underway. Mythologies will matter. Here’s more background on the Open AI drama.

An FAQ

We got the strong close yesterday and sure enough we did finish with our 6th straight green weekly candle on the SPY for the first time in years. Although we have not moved much in the last 3 weeks, buyers are clearly stepping in and buying every dip. There were a couple times this week where yields fell and stocks didn’t go up that were concerning to me, but overall so many charts are bullish now, oil is near lows of the year, yields are at their lowest point in months, and the VIX hit its lowest point of the year this week.

Plus some trades

A smart bear is worth ten bulls.