Rule-by-decree mandates will ultimately condemn the green energy agenda.

The trade-off New York made when it abandoned nuclear energy.

A concise daily companion newsletter for SPX/ES Traders offering a chart, accurate daily levels, actionable trade plan, and insight into the art and science of trading from the perspective of a professional trader.

Introduction

When it rains, it pours! What did we share with folks this week in this Substack? Bullish TSLA at 137. Bearish META at 510. Bullish META at 400. Bullish at 390. Bullish at 150. 3.8 TO 4.3 Several support and resistance levels in Emini,

An Outlook

Hedging works, sometimes

S&P 500 4,769.83 | 10-Year UST Yield 3.88%

"There is general agreement among researchers that nearly all stock pickers, whether they know it or not – and few of them do – are playing a game of chance." -Daniel Kahneman

Never mind the Rich Men North of Richmond, here's who ultimately pays...

Without the hundreds of billions in local, state, and federal spending, the numbers would be showing what our real-time Doom Index is showing, moderate contraction in the real economy already.

Container Store Inc. ($TCS), Casa Systems Inc. ($CASA), MVK Holdco, Humanigen, Lordstown + More

The PETITION collab with King & Spalding's Michael Handler continues.

Have you ever heard about Coffee Can Investing? It’s a long-term investing strategy where you buy great companies without having the intention to sell them over the next few years or even decades. So today we ask ourselves this question: Which companies would I like to own for the next 30 years?

Everyone should invest in stocks. It’s the best way to create wealth in the long term. And the best part? Everyone can do it. We're buying a new ETF for the Portfolio today.

Financial Alienation, Cryptocurrencies and The Great Wealth Transfer

Short Update on Latest Weekly Data

Every month you'll get 4-6 of Jonah's best growth stock ideas with the research and writeups.

Paid subscribers to Jonah’s Growth Stock Deep Dives receive ~2 deep dives per month (8,000+ words), ~2 mini deep dives per month (2,000+ words) and quarterly earnings writeups (on most of my portfolio companies

The Rapid Collapse of the 16th Largest Bank in America

Inside the World’s Largest Sovereign Wealth Fund

After reflecting a bit on the price action today, a few tea leaves stood out that the shift to unloved/IWM-like stocks and away from consensus Mega-caps could continue to have legs, potentially causing the QQQs to be choppy in the near-term. Many of you readers know that we here at TMTB like to look at reactions to morning news items/earnings as tea leaves for broader market patterns, especially when we see a change in character. We always like to ask ourselves if these reactions are rationale. Stocks going up on bad news is a bullish sign and stocks going down on good news is the opposite. Over the last couple weeks, there haven’t been many tea leaves to point to a change in character in the market’s behavior.

Doing a mid-day today as leaving the screens early today. QQQs +1.7% led by internet post GOOGL/SNAP and semis as GOOGL/MSFT followed META talking up capex as investors getting more comfortable again with any qualms they had with sustainability of demand.

Goldman exec throws a party and SEC stokes anxiety among ESG activists

Also, an updated PCAOB inspection report finally unveils KPMG's audit deficiencies

Hello All, The Year Ahead is finally here. It is quite extensive as it is a prep for the entire year as we head into 2024 with outlook & loads of themes. Since starting this substack, have done several individual write-ups, created 3 baskets all of which have performed well, and have tracked all ideas / tactical trades generated since starting this subs…

Hello All, It was a bit of a racier day in the markets, led by a big gap down post-GDP numbers, which more so showed a stagflationary print, but the indices ended up rebounding intraday & nearly paired the losses but ended up coming up just short. The Dow has been the laggard of the week due to the softer earnings prints from transports… potentially a ca…

The value over growth outperformance is set to accelerate from here

for Friday, April 26th, 2024

I'm expecting one of the largest mainstream media pivots in history in 2022, catalyzed by capitalism and common sense.

Harris thinks bonds will eventually pull the plug on the Treasury's spending. This and more in his Q1 2024 review.

Volume 50

Volume 95 - Low Corr, More Dispersion, High Bars

Some history sheds light on how today's supercycle in commodities differs from the last one. I elaborate on my framework for understanding commodity price action today and how I think about positioning in and trading them.

The QRA, FX, Risk Assets, and What Comes Next

An FAQ

The SPY has reclaimed the 21 ema for the first time in a couple weeks, let’s see where we close today before claiming the 3 week bear market over, there is still the 50 day above as a last spot of resistance but if that 8 ema crosses up through the 21 in the next few sessions, the scary couple week period could be over. Like I said yesterday it was prudent to wait and see what Google and Microsoft did because if those 2 were down big today, the market would have been hammered.

What Next? + New Buys!

Time to say goodbye and plan ahead for the second leg of the trade

Pivot : 16450 Longs to : 16610 // 16680 Shorts to : 16220 I have now rolled my contracts. I typically do this sooner but I felt like I had a better Pulse on the previous Prices. Your understanding is an…

Despite the large upside ER spike, Market has found Balance and still in Balance.

Plus a new addition to the portfolio.

This is a short weekly email that covers a few things I’ve found interesting during the week.

Bad things lead to more bad things. But (some) bad things can be fixed.

We are far from overcoming humanity's material needs, which means we need more production. The problem is not "excess" investment in capacity, but making sure that the capacity can be fully utilized.

2024, Mar 4

Apr 26, 2024

And Here We Go!

NOW can I Fire the Rocket Emoji?